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Liberia vs Sierra Leone Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International SKD Stadium, Monrovia
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Match Events

30' Event
Teclar S.
43' Event
Kosiah A.
Assist: Teah D.
53'
Turay A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Liberia and Sierra Leone finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liberia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Liberia
15%
Draws
36%
Sierra Leone
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liberia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Sierra Leone's 1.1 goals per match outpaces what Liberia have produced (0.96).
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Liberia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Liberia Clean Sheet 68%
Sierra Leone Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberia Sierra Leone
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.96 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International
Liberia vs Sierra Leone
3:1
Jun 6, 2026 Friendly International
Sierra Leone vs Liberia
1:0
Nov 1, 2024 African Nations Championship
Liberia vs Sierra Leone
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 African Nations Championship
Sierra Leone vs Liberia
1:2
Mar 27, 2022 Friendly International
Liberia vs Sierra Leone
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liberia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosiah A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Teclar S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sierra Leone Compare

Top Goalscorer Gandi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberia 50 / 100
Sierra Leone 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberia Sierra Leone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liberia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Liberia scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Sierra Leone let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Sierra Leone lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liberia VS Sierra Leone
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberia

(Home)
29 Sept
Liberia
0 : 1
Mali
25 Sept
Rwanda
3 : 1
Liberia
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1
Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0
Liberia
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
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Sierra Leone

(Away)
28 Sept
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 0
Sierra Leone
24 Sept
Sierra Leone
2 : 3
Zimbabwe
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1
Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0
Liberia
30 Mar
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
Sierra Leone
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