Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Liberta vs Aston Villa

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2018/2019
Liberta Logo

Liberta

1 - 0
FT
Aston Villa Logo

Aston Villa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 game between Liberta and Aston Villa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liberta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Liberta
30%
Draws
62%
Aston Villa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aston Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Aston Villa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aston Villa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Liberta Clean Sheet 10%
Aston Villa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberta Aston Villa
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 5 23
Draws 8 2
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.39 3.15
Goals Conceded 2.81 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Liberta
2:1
Jan 26, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Aston Villa
1:0
Jan 5, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Liberta
0:2
Jan 25, 2008 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Liberta
2:1
Oct 19, 2007 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Liberta
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberta 10 / 100
Aston Villa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberta Aston Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aston Villa has conceded goals in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Liberta scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Liberta remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aston Villa
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberta

(Home)
26 Apr
Parham
7 : 1
Liberta
16 Apr
Empire FC
5 : 1
Liberta
10 Apr
Grenades
5 : 1
Liberta
24 Mar
Empire FC
7 : 2
Liberta
19 Mar
Pigotts Bullets
0 : 0
Liberta
Page 1 of 7

Aston Villa

(Away)
26 Apr
Aston Villa
2 : 2
Green City
18 Apr
Aston Villa
9 : 0
Jennings Utd
11 Apr
Aston Villa
1 : 7
Grenades
04 Apr
Ottos Rangers
2 : 2
Aston Villa
28 Mar
Attacking Saints
2 : 3
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liberta 18 10 4 4 27:14 34
2 Greenbay Hoppers 18 10 3 5 36:25 33
3 Grenades 18 10 2 6 25:17 32
4 Old Road 18 10 1 7 35:22 31
5 Parham 18 8 2 8 27:29 26
6 Swetes 18 6 6 6 38:34 24
7 Five Islands 18 7 3 8 27:29 24
8 Tryum 18 5 5 8 24:29 20
9 SAP 18 6 0 12 26:47 18
10 Aston Villa 18 4 2 12 18:37 14
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 (Relegation)