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Liberta vs Five Islands

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 game between Liberta and Five Islands finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Liberta
20%
Draws
70%
Five Islands
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Five Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Liberta's 1.39 goals per match outpaces what Five Islands have produced (1.27).
  • Five Islands are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Liberta Clean Sheet 10%
Five Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberta Five Islands
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 5 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 1.39 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.81 3.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Five Islands
3:3
Feb 8, 2020 ABFA Premier League
Five Islands vs Liberta
1:1
Dec 21, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Five Islands
4:0
Jan 20, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Five Islands
3:0
Dec 17, 2018 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Five Islands
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberta 10 / 100
Five Islands 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberta Five Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Five Islands Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Five Islands has conceded goals in 97% of their last 33 outings.

Liberta scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Liberta went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liberta VS Five Islands
1 Goals Scored 1.63
7 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberta

(Home)
26 Apr
Parham
7 : 1
Liberta
16 Apr
Empire FC
5 : 1
Liberta
10 Apr
Grenades
5 : 1
Liberta
24 Mar
Empire FC
7 : 2
Liberta
19 Mar
Pigotts Bullets
0 : 0
Liberta
Page 1 of 7

Five Islands

(Away)
29 Mar
Attacking Saints
2 : 1
Five Islands
22 Mar
Garden Stars
1 : 2
Five Islands
01 Mar
Potters FC
1 : 1
Five Islands
15 Feb
Five Islands
4 : 2
Parham
09 Feb
All Saints United
5 : 0
Five Islands
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liberta 18 10 4 4 27:14 34
2 Greenbay Hoppers 18 10 3 5 36:25 33
3 Grenades 18 10 2 6 25:17 32
4 Old Road 18 10 1 7 35:22 31
5 Parham 18 8 2 8 27:29 26
6 Swetes 18 6 6 6 38:34 24
7 Five Islands 18 7 3 8 27:29 24
8 Tryum 18 5 5 8 24:29 20
9 SAP 18 6 0 12 26:47 18
10 Aston Villa 18 4 2 12 18:37 14
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 (Relegation)