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Liberta vs Old Road

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 game between Liberta and Old Road finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liberta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Liberta
20%
Draws
64%
Old Road
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Old Road

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Old Road come out ahead of Liberta on wins alone.
  • Model gives Old Road a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Old Road have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Liberta Clean Sheet 10%
Old Road Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberta Old Road
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.43 3.22
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Old Road
0:4
Feb 24, 2020 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Liberta
3:1
Nov 11, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Old Road
2:3
Feb 23, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Old Road
2:1
Dec 2, 2018 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Old Road
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberta 10 / 100
Old Road 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberta Old Road

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Old Road Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Old Road's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Liberta scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Old Road registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Old Road
0 Goals Scored 3.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberta

(Home)
26 Apr
Parham
7 : 1
Liberta
16 Apr
Empire FC
5 : 1
Liberta
10 Apr
Grenades
5 : 1
Liberta
24 Mar
Empire FC
7 : 2
Liberta
19 Mar
Pigotts Bullets
0 : 0
Liberta
Page 1 of 6

Old Road

(Away)
29 Apr
Old Road
0 : 3
Grenades
25 Apr
Old Road
14 : 0
Jennings Utd
04 Apr
Attacking Saints
3 : 3
Old Road
28 Mar
All Saints United
3 : 0
Old Road
22 Mar
Old Road
4 : 5
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liberta 18 10 4 4 27:14 34
2 Greenbay Hoppers 18 10 3 5 36:25 33
3 Grenades 18 10 2 6 25:17 32
4 Old Road 18 10 1 7 35:22 31
5 Parham 18 8 2 8 27:29 26
6 Swetes 18 6 6 6 38:34 24
7 Five Islands 18 7 3 8 27:29 24
8 Tryum 18 5 5 8 24:29 20
9 SAP 18 6 0 12 26:47 18
10 Aston Villa 18 4 2 12 18:37 14
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 (Relegation)