Sport Picks
Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio Nu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asunción 
Match Events
16'
16'
Vera E.
26'
26'
Manzur A.
37'
37'
Vallejos J.
Assist: Rojas R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-2. The second leg ended 4-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Libertad Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Libertad Asuncion come out ahead of Rubio Nu on wins alone.
- Libertad Asuncion are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Libertad Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Rubio Nu, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Libertad Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Libertad Asuncion | Rubio Nu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio Nu
4:2
Apr 21, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Libertad Asuncion
3:0
Feb 20, 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Nov 9, 2017 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Libertad Asuncion
2:4
Jul 22, 2017 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio Nu
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Libertad Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Vera E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Manzur A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Rubio Nu Compare
Top Goalscorer Vallejos J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Libertad Asuncion 68 / 100
Rubio Nu 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Libertad Asuncion Rubio Nu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Libertad Asuncion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rubio Nu has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Libertad Asuncion's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Libertad Asuncion went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Libertad Asuncion VS Rubio Nu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Libertad Asuncion
(Home) 05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
06 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 2 Rubio Nu
24 Aug
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
10 Aug
Libertad Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 3
Rubio Nu
(Away) 06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Rubio Nu
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2 2 de Mayo
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Rubio Nu
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
06 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 2 Rubio Nu
28 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
