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Libertad Asuncion W vs Club Nacional W W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Libertadores Women. This has Libertad Asuncion W written all over it on paper. Club Nacional W W have shipped 2.17 goals a game lately, while Libertad Asuncion W have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.8. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Libertad Asuncion W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Libertad Asuncion W
25%
Draws
35%
Club Nacional W W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Libertad Asuncion W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Libertad Asuncion W have managed 1.8 goals a game lately — Club Nacional W W are scoring more at 1.96.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Libertad Asuncion W Clean Sheet 20%
Club Nacional W W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libertad Asuncion W Club Nacional W W
Matches Played 10 24
Wins 5 5
Draws 3 3
Losses 2 16
Goals Scored 1.8 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libertad Asuncion W 31 / 100
Club Nacional W W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libertad Asuncion W Club Nacional W W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Libertad Asuncion W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Nacional W W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 24 matches.

Away concern: Club Nacional W W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Libertad Asuncion W VS Club Nacional de Football W
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 3.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Libertad Asuncion W

(Home)

Club Nacional W W

(Away)
09 Oct
Libertad Limpeno W
0 : 0
Club Nacional de Football W
06 Oct
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Club Nacional de Football W
03 Oct
Club Nacional de Football W
0 : 0
U. De Chile W
12 Oct
America de Cali W
4 : 0
Club Nacional de Football W
09 Oct
Boca Juniors W
5 : 1
Club Nacional de Football W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Corinthians W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Indep. Santa Fe W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Caracas W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Universitario de Deportes W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Independiente del Valle W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 CA Belgrano de Cordoba W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Olimpia Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 LDU Quito W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bolivar W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional de Football W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 U. De Chile W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dep. Cali W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Libertad Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)