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Libertad FC vs Deportivo Shalon

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Libertad FC in this Copa Simon Bolivar tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Libertad FC
6%
Draws
90%
Deportivo Shalon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Shalon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Shalon have won more games recently than Libertad FC.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Shalon taking it.
  • Deportivo Shalon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Libertad FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Libertad FC Clean Sheet 10%
Deportivo Shalon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libertad FC Deportivo Shalon
Matches Played 10 28
Wins 2 12
Draws 0 1
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Libertad FC vs Deportivo Shalon
2:1
Sep 1, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Deportivo Shalon vs Libertad FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libertad FC 10 / 100
Deportivo Shalon 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libertad FC Deportivo Shalon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Shalon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Libertad FC scored in 70% of their last 10 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Deportivo Shalon has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Libertad FC VS Deportivo Shalon
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Libertad FC

(Home)
28 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
7 : 1
Libertad FC
21 Sept
Libertad FC
1 : 0
3 de Febrero
13 Sept
Libertad FC
2 : 1
Deportivo Shalon
06 Sept
3 de Febrero
2 : 1
Libertad FC
01 Sept
Deportivo Shalon
2 : 1
Libertad FC
Page 1 of 2

Deportivo Shalon

(Away)
25 Oct
San Juan FC
4 : 2
Deportivo Shalon
12 Oct
Deportivo Shalon
1 : 2
San Juan FC
29 Sept
Deportivo Shalon
12 : 1
3 de Febrero
21 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 2
Deportivo Shalon
13 Sept
Libertad FC
2 : 1
Deportivo Shalon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz650118:515
2Rio San Juan641111:613
3Fancesa621316:137
4C.A. Chocorosi60063:240
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
11 de Mayo650111:215
2CD Guadalajara63037:89
3Central Union62048:96
4Ingenieros62045:126
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi632110:511
2Torre Fuerte63039:99
3Nueva Cliza62317:79
4Nacional Sucre61147:124
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Juan FC632112:511
2Olympic FC62319:39
3CD Ingenio62229:118
4Chaco FC60337:183
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Sucre660026:518
2Deportivo Shalon620419:126
3Libertad FC62046:146
43 de Febrero62046:266
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tiquipaya651018:516
2Municipal de Tarija631216:910
3Pucarani630311:69
4Universitario de Pando60066:310
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams