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Libertad FC vs Fatic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Copa Simon Bolivar
Libertad FC Logo

Libertad FC

0 - 1
FT
Fatic Logo

Fatic

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-0. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Libertad FC
15%
Draws
76%
Fatic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fatic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fatic lately — more wins on the board than Libertad FC.
  • Win probability leans Fatic's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Fatic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fatic, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Libertad FC Clean Sheet 10%
Fatic Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libertad FC Fatic
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 2 14
Draws 1 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.5 1.97
Goals Conceded 3.19 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Libertad FC
6:0
Aug 30, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Libertad FC vs Fatic
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libertad FC 10 / 100
Fatic 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libertad FC Fatic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Fatic conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Libertad FC's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Solid form: Libertad FC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Libertad FC VS Fatic
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Libertad FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Libertad FC
0 : 2
Atletico Sucre
19 Sept
Em Huanuni
5 : 0
Libertad FC
12 Sept
Fatic
6 : 0
Libertad FC
05 Sept
Libertad FC
0 : 0
Em Huanuni
30 Aug
Libertad FC
0 : 1
Fatic
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Fatic

(Away)
10 Oct
Fatic
1 : 0
26 de Febrero
27 Sept
Em Huanuni
2 : 0
Fatic
19 Sept
Fatic
3 : 1
Atletico Sucre
12 Sept
Fatic
6 : 0
Libertad FC
05 Sept
Atletico Sucre
2 : 1
Fatic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)