Sport Picks

Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Libertad host Tecnico U. in the Liga Pro. Little to choose between these two on current form. Tecnico U. have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Libertad have conceded 2 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Libertad slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.56, favoring Tecnico U.. Tecnico U. in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Libertad

39%

Draws

30%

Tecnico U.

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Tecnico U. has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Libertad.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Pro provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Libertad Clean Sheet 15%

Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Libertad	Tecnico U.
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	5	9
Draws	9	4
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	1.25	1.13
Goals Conceded	2	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Liga Pro

Tecnico U. vs Libertad

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Jun 21, 2025 Liga Pro

Libertad vs Tecnico U.

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 1 - 4

4:1

Feb 25, 2025 Liga Pro

Tecnico U. vs Libertad

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Sep 17, 2024 Liga Pro

Tecnico U. vs Libertad

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 3 - 0

3:0

Mar 30, 2024 Liga Pro

Libertad vs Tecnico U.

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libertad 31 / 100

Tecnico U. 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Libertad Tecnico U.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libertad scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Tecnico U. let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Libertad went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tecnico U. lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Libertad VS Tecnico U.

1.25 Goals Scored 1.13

2 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	17	13	1	3	36:18	40
2	Barcelona SC	17	8	5	4	20:13	29
3	LDU Quito	17	8	3	6	19:14	27
4	Dep. Cuenca	17	8	3	6	18:19	27
5	U. Catolica	17	7	5	5	28:17	26
6	Aucas	16	7	5	4	19:16	26
7	Tecnico U.	17	7	2	8	19:17	23
8	Macara	17	6	5	6	16:18	23
9	Emelec	17	6	5	6	14:17	23
10	Orense	17	6	4	7	22:24	22
11	Mushuc Runa	17	5	6	6	22:23	21
12	Leones del Norte	17	5	5	7	18:19	20
13	Guayaquil City	16	5	4	7	14:19	19
14	Delfin	17	4	5	8	9:16	17
15	Libertad	17	4	5	8	17:25	17
16	Manta	17	3	3	11	7:23	12