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Libertad vs Tecnico U. Prediction & H2H Stats

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Mesa Mercado E. E.
46'
Sub
Majao J. In: Castillo A.
Out: Majao J.
49'
Caicedo B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Libertad and Tecnico U. finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Libertad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Libertad
20%
Draws
40%
Tecnico U.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Tecnico U. have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Libertad are scoring more at 1.1.
  • Win probability leans Libertad's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Libertad Clean Sheet 20%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libertad Tecnico U.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 1
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Liga Pro
Libertad vs Tecnico U.
1:0
Mar 13, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Libertad
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 Liga Pro
Libertad vs Tecnico U.
4:1
Feb 25, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Libertad
2:2
Sep 17, 2024 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Libertad
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Libertad Compare

Top Goalscorer Batalla H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Tecnico U. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libertad 42 / 100
Tecnico U. 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libertad Tecnico U.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Libertad found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Tecnico U. let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Libertad stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Libertad VS Tecnico U.
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Libertad

(Home)
20 Sept
Emelec
1 : 2
Libertad
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3
Independiente del Valle
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Libertad
04 Sept
Libertad
1 : 1
Emelec
30 Aug
Aucas
1 : 0
Libertad
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Tecnico U.

(Away)
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1
Tecnico U.
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)