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Libourne vs Aurillac

France France

CFA - Group C 2009/2010
Libourne Logo

Libourne

4 - 0
FT
Aurillac Logo

Aurillac

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Libourne in this CFA - Group C 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Libourne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Libourne
15%
Draws
51%
Aurillac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurillac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Libourne have won more games recently than Aurillac.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Libourne here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Libourne Clean Sheet 19%
Aurillac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libourne Aurillac
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 13 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.7 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2010 National 1 - Group C
Libourne vs Aurillac
4:0
Oct 10, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Aurillac vs Libourne
1:2
Nov 24, 2007 Coupe de France
Libourne vs Aurillac
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libourne 32 / 100
Aurillac 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libourne Aurillac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurillac's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Libourne found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Difficult form: Aurillac registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Libourne VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Libourne

(Home)
18 May
Libourne
2 : 5
Saumur Olympique
11 May
Les Herbiers
2 : 2
Libourne
27 Apr
Libourne
0 : 3
Bergerac
20 Apr
Paris 13 Atletico
3 : 0
Libourne
13 Apr
Libourne
2 : 0
Romorantin
Page 1 of 7

Aurillac

(Away)
07 Feb
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 2
Aurillac
06 Jan
Saint-Pryve
3 : 1
Aurillac
09 Dec
La Chapelle
0 : 1
Aurillac
17 Nov
Biars-Bretenoux
2 : 3
Aurillac
06 Dec
Cholet
3 : 0
Aurillac
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niort 34 18 11 5 53:23 99
2 Moulins-Yzeure 34 16 10 8 39:29 92
3 Lucon 34 15 11 8 45:39 90
4 PSG II 34 13 15 6 37:28 88
5 Albi 34 14 12 8 42:40 88
6 Montlucon 34 14 10 10 45:36 86
7 Colomiers 34 13 9 12 33:29 82
8 Les Herbiers 34 12 13 9 48:44 82
9 Libourne 34 10 14 10 35:31 78
10 Le Mans II 34 10 14 10 42:35 78
11 Red Star 34 11 9 14 38:44 76
12 Pau 34 9 12 13 30:35 73
13 Aurillac 34 8 14 12 26:40 72
14 Fontenay 34 6 18 10 31:41 70
15 Genets 34 9 9 16 29:42 70
16 Bordeaux II 34 9 11 14 23:32 69
17 Balma 34 6 12 16 28:42 64
18 Toulouse Fontaines Club 34 6 10 18 25:39 62
Promotion - National 2010/2011 (Main)