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Libourne vs Les Herbiers

France France

National 2 - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Lavenant P.
57' Event
Souane A.
90' Event
Nilor M.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group B 2023/2024 game between Libourne and Les Herbiers finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Les Herbiers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Libourne
20%
Draws
40%
Les Herbiers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Les Herbiers come out ahead of Libourne on wins alone.
  • Les Herbiers are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Libourne Clean Sheet 23%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libourne Les Herbiers
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 12 15
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Les Herbiers vs Libourne
2:2
Jan 13, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Libourne vs Les Herbiers
1:2
May 8, 2010 National 1 - Group C
Libourne vs Les Herbiers
1:1
Dec 5, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Les Herbiers vs Libourne
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Libourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Souane A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Les Herbiers Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavenant P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nilor M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libourne 29 / 100
Les Herbiers 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libourne Les Herbiers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Les Herbiers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Libourne scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Les Herbiers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 37 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Les Herbiers's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Les Herbiers
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Libourne

(Home)
18 May
Libourne
2 : 5
Saumur Olympique
11 May
Les Herbiers
2 : 2
Libourne
27 Apr
Libourne
0 : 3
Bergerac
20 Apr
Paris 13 Atletico
3 : 0
Libourne
13 Apr
Libourne
2 : 0
Romorantin
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Les Herbiers

(Away)
29 Aug
Dinan
2 : 0
Les Herbiers
22 Aug
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 1
Les Herbiers
22 Jul
Angers
3 : 1
Les Herbiers
16 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
09 May
Bordeaux
1 : 0
Les Herbiers
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paris 13 Atletico 26 13 9 4 41:24 48
2 La Roche Vendee 26 13 9 4 40:19 48
3 Libourne 26 10 10 6 44:35 40
4 Saint-Pryve 26 10 8 8 32:27 38
5 Bergerac 26 10 10 6 36:29 37
6 Angouleme CFC 26 10 7 9 33:32 37
7 Blois Foot 41 26 10 7 9 37:35 37
8 Bourges 18 26 11 4 11 30:38 37
9 Les Herbiers 26 9 10 7 37:28 37
10 Saumur Olympique 26 9 7 10 37:36 34
11 Romorantin 26 9 6 11 33:38 33
12 Avoine 26 6 8 12 23:38 26
13 Trelissac 26 3 12 11 25:42 21
14 Angers II 26 2 7 17 19:46 13
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)