Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Libya W vs Equatorial Guinea W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024
Tue, Sep 26, 2023
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024. Equatorial Guinea W are expected to control this from the start. Equatorial Guinea W have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Libya W have conceded 7.33 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Libya W slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.85 vs 3.44, favoring Equatorial Guinea W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Libya W
15%
Draws
85%
Equatorial Guinea W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Equatorial Guinea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Equatorial Guinea W come out ahead of Libya W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Equatorial Guinea W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Equatorial Guinea W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Libya W Clean Sheet 10%
Equatorial Guinea W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libya W Equatorial Guinea W
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 0 10
Draws 0 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 0 0.9
Goals Conceded 7.33 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 3.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Libya W vs Equatorial Guinea W
0:0
Sep 18, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Equatorial Guinea W vs Libya W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libya W 10 / 100
Equatorial Guinea W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libya W Equatorial Guinea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Equatorial Guinea W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Equatorial Guinea W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 24 outings.

Away concern: Equatorial Guinea W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Libya W's goal record stands at 0% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Libya W VS Equatorial Guinea W
0 Goals Scored 0.38
6.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Libya W

(Home)
01 Nov
Libya W
0 : 7
Afghanistan W
29 Oct
Chad W
16 : 0
Libya W
26 Oct
Tunisia W
16 : 0
Libya W
26 Sept
Libya W
:
Equatorial Guinea W
18 Sept
Equatorial Guinea W
:
Libya W
Page 1 of 2

Equatorial Guinea W

(Away)
08 Jun
Equatorial Guinea W
1 : 3
Haiti W
04 Jun
Almeria W
0 : 1
Equatorial Guinea W
26 Feb
Equatorial Guinea W
1 : 1
Tanzania W
20 Feb
Tanzania W
3 : 1
Equatorial Guinea W
05 Dec
D.R. Congo W
2 : 1
Equatorial Guinea W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Senegal W 3
Mozambique W 2
Egypt W 8
South Sudan W 0
Central Africa W 1
Mali W 10
Guinea W 11
Mauritius W 0
Nigeria W -
Sao Tome and Principe W -
Cape Verde W 6
Liberia W 2
Uganda W 2
Algeria W 3
Burundi W 3
Ethiopia W 2
Equatorial Guinea W -
Libya W -
D.R. Congo W 4
Benin W 2
Ivory Coast W 2
Tanzania W 3
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 13
Rwanda W 0
Ghana W 12
Gambia W 2
Namibia W 5
Cameroon W 1
Kenya W 2
Gabon W 1
Botswana W 10
Tunisia W 12
Niger W 1
Guinea Bissau W 0
Congo W 3
Angola W -
Sudan W -
TBD -
Zambia W -
Eswatini W 2
Burkina Faso W 6
TBD -
South Africa W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Senegal W 4
Egypt W 0
Mali W 10
Guinea W 2
Nigeria W 7
Cape Verde W 1
Algeria W 6
Burundi W 1
Equatorial Guinea W 2
D.R. Congo W 3
Tanzania W 3
Togo W 2
Ghana W 3
Namibia W 2
Kenya W 1
Botswana W 2
Tunisia W 6
Congo W 3
Angola W 0
Zambia W 12
Burkina Faso W 1
South Africa W 3
TBD -
TBD -