Sport Picks
Licata vs Castrovillari Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 
Match Events
9'
9'
Rotulo R.
17'
17'
Lanza M.
27'
27'
Rotulo R.
AI Match Summary
Licata in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Licata.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Licata
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Licata have won more games recently than Castrovillari.
- Licata are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Licata Clean Sheet 19%
Castrovillari Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Licata | Castrovillari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Castrovillari
3:1
Dec 17, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Licata
0:0
Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Licata
0:4
Sep 18, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Castrovillari
0:1
May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Licata
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Licata Compare
Top Goalscorer Rotulo R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lanza M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Castrovillari Compare
Top Goalscorer Izco R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Licata 85 / 100
Castrovillari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Licata Castrovillari
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Licata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castrovillari has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Licata went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Licata scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Licata VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Licata
(Home) 04 Oct
Licata
2 : 1 Sambiase
26 Sept
Enna
0 : 3 Licata
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0 USD Ragusa
16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1 Licata
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1 Nissa
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Licata
2 : 1 Sambiase
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0 USD Ragusa
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1 Nissa
27 Apr
Licata
3 : 0 Pompei
13 Apr
Licata
2 : 3 Paterno
Page 1 of 3
Castrovillari
(Away) 05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2 Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Licata
3 : 1 Castrovillari
21 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 1 Portici 1906
14 Apr
Siracusa
3 : 1 Castrovillari
07 Apr
Castrovillari
2 : 1 San Luca
Page 1 of 6
28 Apr
Licata
3 : 1 Castrovillari
14 Apr
Siracusa
3 : 1 Castrovillari
17 Mar
Reggina
3 : 1 Castrovillari
03 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0 Castrovillari
18 Feb
Canicatti
4 : 2 Castrovillari
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trapani | 34 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 95:15 | 94 |
| 2 | Siracusa | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 79:26 | 81 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 67:29 | 72 |
| 4 | Reggina | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 54:25 | 65 |
| 5 | AS Acireale | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 39:41 | 54 |
| 6 | S. Agata | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46:35 | 52 |
| 7 | Real Casalnuovo | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:49 | 51 |
| 8 | USD Ragusa | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:38 | 50 |
| 9 | Canicatti | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 55:51 | 48 |
| 10 | Igea Virtus | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38:40 | 45 |
| 11 | Licata | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43:54 | 43 |
| 12 | Akragas | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 42:53 | 42 |
| 13 | Sancataldese | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:43 | 37 |
| 14 | Portici 1906 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32:55 | 32 |
| 15 | San Luca | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 37:55 | 29 |
| 16 | Locri 1909 | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 34:68 | 28 |
| 17 | Castrovillari | 34 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 29:76 | 17 |
| 18 | Nuova Gioiese | 34 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 18:80 | 11 |
| 19 | Lamezia Terme | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)
