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Licata vs San Luca

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Giampaolo F.
42' Event
Lanza M.
62' Event
Saito L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Licata and San Luca finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Licata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Licata
15%
Draws
42%
San Luca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Licata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Licata carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Licata taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Licata Clean Sheet 68%
San Luca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Licata San Luca
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 10
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Licata
0:0
Oct 29, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs San Luca
3:2
May 8, 2023 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Licata
1:2
Dec 21, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs San Luca
3:0
Feb 13, 2022 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Licata
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Licata Compare

Top Goalscorer Saito L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lanza M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

San Luca Compare

Top Goalscorer Giampaolo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ficara A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Licata 77 / 100
San Luca 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Licata San Luca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Licata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Luca let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

San Luca lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Licata's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Licata VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Licata

(Home)
11 May
Castrumfavara
2 : 0
Licata
04 May
Nissa
3 : 2
Licata
27 Apr
Licata
3 : 0
Pompei
17 Apr
Sambiase
1 : 0
Licata
13 Apr
Licata
2 : 3
Paterno
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San Luca

(Away)
12 May
San Luca
0 : 2
Locri 1909
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
21 Apr
Akragas
1 : 2
San Luca
14 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)