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Stadium Background

Lidzbark Warmimski vs Olimpia Zambrow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Stawski J.
22' Event
Kempski M.
27' Event
Jakimiuk J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I game between Lidzbark Warmimski and Olimpia Zambrow finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olimpia Zambrow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lidzbark Warmimski
30%
Draws
37%
Olimpia Zambrow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olimpia Zambrow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Olimpia Zambrow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 10%
Olimpia Zambrow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lidzbark Warmimski Olimpia Zambrow
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Olimpia Zambrow
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lidzbark Warmimski Compare

Top Goalscorer Stawski J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balut A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Olimpia Zambrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Kempski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jakimiuk J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lidzbark Warmimski 34 / 100
Olimpia Zambrow 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lidzbark Warmimski Olimpia Zambrow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Zambrow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia Zambrow let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Lidzbark Warmimski scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Lidzbark Warmimski has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lidzbark Warmimski VS Olimpia Zambrow
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lidzbark Warmimski

(Home)
10 Oct
Lidzbark Warmimski
3 : 2
LKS Lomza
03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Lidzbark Warmimski
26 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1
KTS Weszlo
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2
Warta Sieradz
Page 1 of 6

Olimpia Zambrow

(Away)
11 Oct
Olimpia Zambrow
3 : 0
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
03 Oct
KTS Weszlo
1 : 3
Olimpia Zambrow
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3
Pelikan
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1
Suwalki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 12 9 2 1 26:10 29
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
12 Widzew Lodz II 11 4 2 5 21:20 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)