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Liechtenstein vs Scotland

World World

Friendly International 2025 Rheinpark Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Liechtenstein play Scotland in the Friendly International 2025. Scotland are favorites here. Recently, Liechtenstein averaged 0.3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Scotland averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Liechtenstein won 0, Scotland won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 9, 2025 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Liechtenstein and 2.44 for Scotland. This points to a Scotland double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Liechtenstein
15%
Draws
71%
Scotland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Scotland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Liechtenstein picked up more points recently compared to Scotland.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 2.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Liechtenstein Clean Sheet 10%
Scotland Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liechtenstein Scotland
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0.3 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2025 Friendly International
Liechtenstein vs Scotland
0:4
Oct 8, 2011 Euro
Liechtenstein vs Scotland
0:1
Sep 7, 2010 Euro
Scotland vs Liechtenstein
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liechtenstein Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Scotland Compare

Top Goalscorer Adams C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Hirst G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liechtenstein 15 / 100
Scotland 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liechtenstein Scotland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scotland Win (2)
Secondary Pick Scotland & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Liechtenstein attacking → ← attacking Scotland

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liechtenstein scored in 27% of their last 30 games.

Scotland let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Liechtenstein went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scotland lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 40
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25