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Lielupe vs FK Madona Kvarcs

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2022
Sun, May 22, 2022
2 - 3
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Madona Kvarcs in this Latvian Cup 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Madona Kvarcs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lielupe
6%
Draws
4%
FK Madona Kvarcs
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lielupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: FK Madona Kvarcs at 1.2 per game, Lielupe at 0.88.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Lielupe taking it.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Latvian Cup 2022 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lielupe Clean Sheet 10%
FK Madona Kvarcs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lielupe FK Madona Kvarcs
Matches Played 17 11
Wins 4 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.2
Goals Conceded 4.38 5.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.38 5.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2022 Latvian Cup
Lielupe vs FK Madona Kvarcs
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lielupe 83 / 100
FK Madona Kvarcs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lielupe FK Madona Kvarcs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FK Madona Kvarcs conceded in 82% of 11 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Lielupe scored in 76% of their last 17 outings.

Difficult form: FK Madona Kvarcs registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lielupe VS FK Madona Kvarcs
0.88 Goals Scored 1.2
4.38 Goals Conceded 5.4
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Riga FC-
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Valmiera-
FK Auda Riga-
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BFC Daugavpils-
Kengaroos4
FK Varaklani2
TBD-
Gauja-
FK Alberts-
TBD-
TBD-
LSPA-
Beitar-
TBD-
TBD-
Bebri-
TBD-
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TBD-
Jelgava-
DSVK Traktors4
Kadaga/Ostas3
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JFK Daugava-
TBD-
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TBD-
Alberts JDFS-
Saldus SS/Leevon-
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JFC Viola2
Sports United/Cesis0
TBD-
Babites-
Valka-
TBD-
TBD-
Gulbenes-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Salaspils FK-
Upesciems-
TBD-
Dobele Allegro3
Bauskas BJSS0
Augsdaugavas2
Ogre United1
TBD-
Fk Jurnieks Riga-
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FK Metta-
Super Nova-
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Tukums 2000-
RFS-
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Spartaks Jurmala-
AFA Olaine-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Sigulda3
FK Union2
TBD-
Marupe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Smiltene-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
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FK Liepaja-
Lielupe-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Madona Kvarcs-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rezekne-
Skanste-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Plavinas-
TBD-
TBD-
Betsafe-
Priekuli-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga United-
Aliance-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Limbazi-
Jekabpils SC-
TBD-
TBD-
Kekava-Auda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Riga-
1/64-finals
Riga FC-
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Valmiera-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
Kengaroos2
Gauja1
FK Alberts1
LSPA4
Beitar4
Bebri1
TBD-
Jelgava-
DSVK Traktors2
JFK Daugava12
TBD-
Alberts JDFS-
Saldus SS/Leevon-
TBD-
JFC Viola4
Babites3
Valka0
Gulbenes2
TBD-
Salaspils FK-
Upesciems0
Dobele Allegro3
Augsdaugavas3
Fk Jurnieks Riga2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
Super Nova-
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Tukums 2000-
RFS-
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Spartaks Jurmala-
AFA Olaine-
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Grobina-
Sigulda0
Marupe5
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FK Smiltene-
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FK Liepaja-
Lielupe2
FK Madona Kvarcs3
TBD-
Rezekne-
Skanste-
TBD-
Plavinas0
Betsafe1
Priekuli4
Riga United1
Aliance1
FK Limbazi4
Jekabpils SC4
Kekava-Auda2
TBD-
Dinamo Riga-
1/32-finals
Riga FC-
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Valmiera-
FK Auda Riga-
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TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
Kengaroos0
LSPA1
Beitar1
Jelgava8
JFK Daugava2
Alberts JDFS5
Saldus SS/Leevon3
JFC Viola0
Gulbenes0
Salaspils FK9
Dobele Allegro0
Augsdaugavas1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Metta-
Super Nova-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tukums 2000-
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartaks Jurmala-
AFA Olaine2
Grobina8
Marupe3
FK Smiltene4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
FK Madona Kvarcs0
Rezekne5
Skanste1
Betsafe0
Priekuli1
FK Limbazi4
Jekabpils SC2
Dinamo Riga1
1/16-finals
Riga FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Valmiera-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
LSPA0
Jelgava11
Alberts JDFS4
Saldus SS/Leevon2
Salaspils FK2
Augsdaugavas0
TBD-
FK Metta-
Super Nova-
TBD-
TBD-
Tukums 2000-
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
Spartaks Jurmala-
Grobina2
FK Smiltene0
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Rezekne1
Skanste2
FK Limbazi0
Jekabpils SC2
1/8-finals
Riga FC0
Valmiera2
FK Auda Riga2
BFC Daugavpils1
Jelgava2
Alberts JDFS1
Salaspils FK0
FK Metta13
Super Nova0
Tukums 20002
RFS4
Spartaks Jurmala0
Grobina2
FK Liepaja1
Skanste6
Jekabpils SC1
Quarter-finals
Valmiera0
FK Auda Riga1
Jelgava2
FK Metta1
Tukums 20001
RFS4
Grobina2
Skanste0
Semi-finals
FK Auda Riga6
Jelgava1
RFS5
Grobina0
Final
FK Auda Riga1
RFS0