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Lienden vs ADO 20 Heemskerk

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2019/2020 game between Lienden and ADO 20 Heemskerk finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lienden
20%
Draws
40%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Lienden haven't matched ADO 20 Heemskerk's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lienden Clean Sheet 19%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lienden ADO 20 Heemskerk
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 4 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.84 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2020 Derde Divisie
Lienden vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
1:1
Oct 6, 2019 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Lienden
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lienden 31 / 100
ADO 20 Heemskerk 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lienden ADO 20 Heemskerk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lienden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lienden scored in 74% of their last 19 outings.

Defensive concern: ADO 20 Heemskerk conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: ADO 20 Heemskerk registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lienden

(Home)
08 Mar
Lienden
1 : 0
HV & CV Quick
01 Mar
Groene Ster
3 : 1
Lienden
16 Feb
Lienden
0 : 3
OFC Oostzaan
02 Feb
Lienden
1 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
21 Jan
Lienden
1 : 3
Jong Den Haag
Page 1 of 4

ADO 20 Heemskerk

(Away)
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1
VV Scherpenzeel
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6
ADO 20 Heemskerk
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0
Staphorst
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)