Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lienz vs Bleiburg

Austria Austria

Karnten 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lienz in this Karnten 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lienz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lienz
15%
Draws
49%
Bleiburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bleiburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bleiburg lately — more wins on the board than Lienz.
  • Model gives Bleiburg a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Lienz Clean Sheet 17%
Bleiburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lienz Bleiburg
Matches Played 33 40
Wins 6 15
Draws 5 10
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0.76 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2017 Karnten
Bleiburg vs Lienz
3:0
Oct 29, 2016 Karnten
Lienz vs Bleiburg
1:1
Mar 19, 2016 Karnten
Lienz vs Bleiburg
3:1
Aug 1, 2015 Karnten
Bleiburg vs Lienz
1:1
May 11, 2013 Karnten
Bleiburg vs Lienz
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lienz 10 / 100
Bleiburg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lienz Bleiburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bleiburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bleiburg conceded in 70% of 40 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Bleiburg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Lienz's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bleiburg
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lienz

(Home)
13 Jul
Lienz
0 : 11
Udinese
19 Jul
Al Hilal
5 : 0
Lienz
10 Jul
Lienz
0 : 9
Rennes
16 Jun
Bleiburg
3 : 0
Lienz
09 Jun
Lienz
2 : 0
Volkermarkt
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Bleiburg

(Away)
19 Sept
Bleiburg
2 : 4
Atus Velden
12 Sept
Bleiburg
0 : 2
Volkermarkt
04 Sept
Bleiburg
3 : 1
Treibach
30 Aug
Wolfsberger AC (Am)
2 : 2
Bleiburg
22 Aug
Bleiburg
3 : 4
A. Klagenfurt
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