Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lierse SK vs Francs Borains

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, Lier
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Bastian M.
46'
Mertens J.
50'
Daguin V.

AI Match Summary

The Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 game between Lierse SK and Francs Borains finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Francs Borains.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Lierse SK
20%
Draws
56%
Francs Borains
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Francs Borains

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Francs Borains carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Francs Borains a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 16%
Francs Borains Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lierse SK Francs Borains
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Francs Borains
0:2
Dec 13, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Francs Borains vs Lierse SK
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Francs Borains vs Lierse SK
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Francs Borains
4:0
Mar 2, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Francs Borains
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lierse SK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Francs Borains Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadjem Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bastian M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lierse SK 19 / 100
Francs Borains 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lierse SK Francs Borains

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Francs Borains Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lierse SK's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Francs Borains's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Lierse SK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lierse SK VS Francs Borains
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lierse SK

(Home)
27 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 2
Lierse SK
11 Sept
Beerschot VA
3 : 1
Lierse SK
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0
RFC Liege
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1
Lierse SK
22 Aug
Lierse SK
2 : 1
Patro Eisden
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Francs Borains

(Away)
26 Sept
Diegem
0 : 1
Francs Borains
18 Sept
Francs Borains
3 : 2
Anderlecht U23
06 Sept
Francs Borains
3 : 0
Sporting Lokeren
30 Aug
Virton
0 : 1
Francs Borains
23 Aug
Francs Borains
0 : 1
Hasselt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SK Beveren 32 28 4 0 74:23 88
2 Kortrijk 32 21 4 7 59:33 67
3 Beerschot VA 32 19 7 6 52:31 64
4 RFC Liege 32 16 5 11 44:39 53
5 Lommel SK 32 15 8 9 59:46 53
6 Patro Eisden 32 14 9 9 44:40 51
7 Eupen 32 12 11 9 44:36 47
8 Sporting Lokeren 32 10 12 10 48:45 42
9 Gent U23 32 12 5 15 42:51 41
10 Lierse SK 32 10 8 14 35:42 38
11 RFC Seraing 32 8 11 13 37:44 35
12 Francs Borains 32 9 8 15 33:47 34
13 RWDM Brussels 32 9 9 14 50:54 33
14 Anderlecht U23 32 7 10 15 46:55 31
15 Genk U23 32 7 10 15 42:59 31
16 Club Brugge U23 32 5 6 21 33:55 21
17 OC Charleroi 32 3 7 22 26:68 16
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