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Lierse SK vs Francs Borains - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, Lier
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Francotte M.
Own Goal
49' Event
Himpe K.
56'
Sub
Asante R. In: Diliberto N.
Out: Asante R.

AI Match Summary

Lierse SK in this Challenger Pro League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lierse SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Lierse SK
20%
Draws
56%
Francs Borains
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Francs Borains

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Francs Borains lately — more wins on the board than Lierse SK.
  • Model gives Francs Borains a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Challenger Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 18%
Francs Borains Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lierse SK Francs Borains
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Francs Borains
3:0
Apr 4, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Francs Borains
0:2
Dec 13, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Francs Borains vs Lierse SK
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Francs Borains vs Lierse SK
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Francs Borains
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lierse SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Himpe K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perdichizzi P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Francs Borains Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lierse SK 15 / 100
Francs Borains 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lierse SK Francs Borains

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Francs Borains Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lierse SK scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Francs Borains conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Lierse SK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lierse SK VS Francs Borains
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lierse SK

(Home)
27 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 2
Lierse SK
11 Sept
Beerschot VA
3 : 1
Lierse SK
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0
RFC Liege
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1
Lierse SK
22 Aug
Lierse SK
2 : 1
Patro Eisden
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Francs Borains

(Away)
26 Sept
Diegem
0 : 1
Francs Borains
18 Sept
Francs Borains
3 : 2
Anderlecht U23
06 Sept
Francs Borains
3 : 0
Sporting Lokeren
30 Aug
Virton
0 : 1
Francs Borains
23 Aug
Francs Borains
0 : 1
Hasselt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dender 7 6 0 1 11:2 18
2 Eupen 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
3 Beerschot VA 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
4 Francs Borains 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
5 Virton 5 3 1 1 8:2 10
6 Sporting Lokeren 6 3 1 2 13:11 10
7 Hasselt 6 3 0 3 4:7 9
8 Club Brugge U23 6 2 2 2 11:13 8
9 Genk U23 6 2 1 3 12:14 7
10 RFC Liege 6 1 2 3 10:13 5
11 Gent U23 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
12 Lierse SK 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
13 Patro Eisden 6 1 0 5 7:12 3
14 RFC Seraing 6 0 2 4 6:12 2
15 Anderlecht U23 7 0 1 6 7:17 1
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