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Lierse SK vs Kortrijk Prediction & H2H Stats

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler League 2017/2018 Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, Lier
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Perbet J.
Assist: Kumordzi B.
58' Event
Ajagun A.
59'
Sub
Binst N. In: El Gabas D.
Out: Binst N.

AI Match Summary

Kortrijk in this Jupiler League 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kortrijk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Lierse SK
15%
Draws
64%
Kortrijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kortrijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kortrijk lately — more wins on the board than Lierse SK.
  • Kortrijk are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Jupiler League 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kortrijk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 10%
Kortrijk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lierse SK Kortrijk
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2018 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Lierse SK
2:1
Apr 14, 2018 Jupiler Pro League
Lierse SK vs Kortrijk
0:2
Mar 15, 2015 Jupiler Pro League
Lierse SK vs Kortrijk
0:0
Nov 8, 2014 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Lierse SK
1:0
Jul 5, 2014 Club Friendly
Lierse SK vs Kortrijk
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lierse SK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Kortrijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Perbet J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ajagun A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lierse SK 26 / 100
Kortrijk 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lierse SK Kortrijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kortrijk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lierse SK scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Kortrijk let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Kortrijk's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kortrijk
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lierse SK

(Home)
18 May
Waregem
5 : 0
Lierse SK
11 May
Lierse SK
0 : 5
SK Beveren
08 May
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 0
Lierse SK
05 May
Lierse SK
2 : 2
Leuven
28 Apr
Kortrijk
2 : 1
Lierse SK
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Kortrijk

(Away)
26 Sept
Heist
3 : 2
Kortrijk
20 Sept
Kortrijk
1 : 0
SK Beveren
13 Sept
RAAL La Louviere
3 : 0
Kortrijk
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2
Waregem
03 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 0
Kortrijk
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waregem 10 9 1 0 35:8 28
2 Kortrijk 10 6 1 3 18:12 19
3 Royal Excel Mouscron 10 4 2 4 18:16 14
4 Leuven 10 2 3 5 12:18 9
5 SK Beveren 10 2 2 6 12:23 8
6 Lierse SK 10 2 1 7 7:25 7
Promotion - Jupiler League 2017/2018 (Europa League - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waregem 10 9 1 0 35:8 28
2 Kortrijk 10 6 1 3 18:12 19
3 Royal Excel Mouscron 10 4 2 4 18:16 14
4 Leuven 10 2 3 5 12:18 9
5 SK Beveren 10 2 2 6 12:23 8
6 Lierse SK 10 2 1 7 7:25 7
Promotion - Jupiler League 2017/2018 (Europa League - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokeren 10 6 3 1 21:11 21
2 St. Truiden 10 5 2 3 22:15 17
3 Antwerp 10 4 2 4 13:16 14
4 Oostende 10 3 5 2 21:18 14
5 Eupen 10 2 2 6 11:21 8
6 Beerschot VA 10 1 4 5 14:21 7
Promotion - Jupiler League 2017/2018 (Europa League - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokeren 10 6 3 1 21:11 21
2 St. Truiden 10 5 2 3 22:15 17
3 Antwerp 10 4 2 4 13:16 14
4 Oostende 10 3 5 2 21:18 14
5 Eupen 10 2 2 6 11:21 8
6 Beerschot VA 10 1 4 5 14:21 7
Promotion - Jupiler League 2017/2018 (Europa League - Play Offs)