Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Aguemon Y.
Assist: Gorius J.
12'
12'
Yagan Y.
51'
51'
Dequevy J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Jupiler League 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leuven
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Lierse SK have won more games recently than Leuven.
- Win probability leans Leuven's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 13%
Leuven Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lierse SK | Leuven |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 5, 2018 Jupiler Pro League
Lierse SK vs Leuven
2:2
Apr 7, 2018 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Lierse SK
1:2
Feb 11, 2018 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Leuven
0:1
Dec 15, 2017 Challenger Pro League
Leuven vs Lierse SK
2:1
Nov 5, 2017 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Leuven
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lierse SK Compare
Top Goalscorer Yagan Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bourdin P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Leuven Compare
Top Goalscorer Aguemon Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Schuermans K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lierse SK 14 / 100
Leuven 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lierse SK Leuven
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leuven Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lierse SK found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Leuven has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Difficult form: Leuven registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Leuven
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lierse SK
(Home) 18 May
Waregem
5 : 0 Lierse SK
11 May
Lierse SK
0 : 5 SK Beveren
08 May
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 0 Lierse SK
05 May
Lierse SK
2 : 2 Leuven
28 Apr
Kortrijk
2 : 1 Lierse SK
Page 1 of 7
11 May
Lierse SK
0 : 5 SK Beveren
05 May
Lierse SK
2 : 2 Leuven
17 Apr
Lierse SK
1 : 4 Waregem
14 Apr
Lierse SK
0 : 2 Kortrijk
31 Mar
Lierse SK
0 : 3 Royal Excel Mouscron
Page 1 of 3
Leuven
(Away) 19 Sept
Leuven
2 : 0 RAAL La Louviere
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1 Cercle Brugge
06 Sept
SK Beveren
3 : 0 Leuven
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0 Leuven
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2 St. Liege
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
SK Beveren
3 : 0 Leuven
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0 Leuven
09 Aug
Charleroi
3 : 1 Leuven
25 Jul
Heerenveen
4 : 4 Leuven
24 Jul
Club Brugge U23
3 : 0 Leuven
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waregem | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Kortrijk | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 19 |
| 3 | Royal Excel Mouscron | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | 14 |
| 4 | Leuven | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 5 | SK Beveren | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:23 | 8 |
| 6 | Lierse SK | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | 7 |
Promotion - Jupiler League 2017/2018 (Europa League - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waregem | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Kortrijk | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 19 |
| 3 | Royal Excel Mouscron | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | 14 |
| 4 | Leuven | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 5 | SK Beveren | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:23 | 8 |
| 6 | Lierse SK | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | 7 |
Promotion - Jupiler League 2017/2018 (Europa League - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokeren | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:15 | 17 |
| 3 | Antwerp | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | 14 |
| 4 | Oostende | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 5 | Eupen | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | 8 |
| 6 | Beerschot VA | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Jupiler League 2017/2018 (Europa League - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokeren | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:15 | 17 |
| 3 | Antwerp | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | 14 |
| 4 | Oostende | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 5 | Eupen | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | 8 |
| 6 | Beerschot VA | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Jupiler League 2017/2018 (Europa League - Play Offs)
