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Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Estrela Vermelha Maputo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2016 Estádio Da Liga Muçulmana
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AI Match Summary

Liga Desportivo Maputo in this Mocambola 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liga Desportivo Maputo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Liga Desportivo Maputo
20%
Draws
38%
Estrela Vermelha Maputo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Liga Desportivo Maputo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Liga Desportivo Maputo have won more games recently than Estrela Vermelha Maputo.
  • Win probability leans Liga Desportivo Maputo's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Mocambola 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Liga Desportivo Maputo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Liga Desportivo Maputo Clean Sheet 20%
Estrela Vermelha Maputo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liga Desportivo Maputo Estrela Vermelha Maputo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 10 12
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2016 Mocambola
Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Estrela Vermelha Maputo
1:0
May 29, 2016 Mocambola
Estrela Vermelha Maputo vs Liga Desportivo Maputo
0:1
Oct 19, 2014 Mocambola
Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Estrela Vermelha Maputo
4:0
Jun 15, 2014 Mocambola
Estrela Vermelha Maputo vs Liga Desportivo Maputo
0:0
Oct 12, 2013 Mocambola
Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Estrela Vermelha Maputo
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liga Desportivo Maputo 42 / 100
Estrela Vermelha Maputo 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liga Desportivo Maputo Estrela Vermelha Maputo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela Vermelha Maputo has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Liga Desportivo Maputo's goal record stands at 34% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Liga Desportivo Maputo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liga Desportivo Maputo VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviario Beira30187540:2161
2UD Songo30167732:1455
3Chibuto301311635:1950
4Liga Desportivo Maputo301551037:2150
5Ferroviario Nampula301311637:2150
6Ferroviario Maputo301310727:1849
7Maxaquene301110928:2643
8Ferroviario Nacala301012822:2442
9Desportivo de Nacala3010101039:3440
10Costa do Sol301081234:3338
11ENH Vilankulo309101122:2837
12Chingale de Tete30961519:4133
131º de Maio de Quelimane307111230:3632
14Estrela Vermelha Maputo306121228:3630
15Desportivo Maputo302131515:3419
16Desportivo de Niassa30372011:5016