Sport Picks

Brazil

Alagoano U20 2024

Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Liga do Sertao U20 play Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20 in the Alagoano U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Liga do Sertao U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 2.93 conceded. Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20 averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Liga do Sertao U20 won 1, Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 16, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.33 for Liga do Sertao U20 and 0.94 for Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20. This points to a Liga do Sertao U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Liga do Sertao U20

19%

Draws

27%

Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Liga do Sertao U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Liga do Sertao U20 picked up more points recently compared to Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.33 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 59%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Liga do Sertao U20 Clean Sheet 24%

Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 53%

Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Liga do Sertao U20	Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20
Matches Played	14	12
Wins	5	2
Draws	1	4
Losses	8	6
Goals Scored	1	0.67
Goals Conceded	2.93	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2024 Alagoano U20

Liga do Sertao U20 vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liga do Sertao U20 53 / 100

Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Liga do Sertao U20 Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liga do Sertao U20 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Liga do Sertao U20 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.2%

2.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Liga do Sertao U20 attacking → ← attacking Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liga do Sertao U20 scored in 57% of their last 14 games.

Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Liga do Sertao U20 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 10

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.17

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CSA U20	6	6	0	0	16:2	18
2	Guarani de Paripueira U20	6	4	0	2	20:11	12
3	Desportiva Alianca U20	6	4	0	2	14:7	12
4	Grota do Facao U20	6	4	0	2	12:5	12
5	Rio Largo U20	6	1	1	4	8:7	4
6	Ubertec U20	6	1	1	4	7:20	4
7	Satuba U20	6	0	0	6	3:28	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CRB U20	6	6	0	0	32:3	18
2	Coruripe U20	6	4	1	1	16:4	13
3	Guarany Alagoano U20	6	3	1	2	8:8	10
4	Sao Domingos U20	6	2	1	3	7:16	7
5	UNEC U20	6	2	1	3	8:19	7
6	Santa Cruz AL U20	6	1	0	5	6:12	3
7	Ponte Preta AL U20	6	0	2	4	1:16	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zumbi U20	4	3	1	0	17:0	10
2	Azzurra U20	4	3	1	0	13:2	10
3	Independente Atalaia U20	4	2	0	2	5:11	6
4	Murici U20	4	1	0	3	6:15	3
5	DZM Passo U20	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Lajense U20	4	0	0	4	3:16	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Liga do Sertao U20	6	4	1	1	11:4	13
2	SC Penedense U20	6	3	3	0	9:5	12
3	Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20	6	2	4	0	8:5	10
4	ASA U20	6	2	2	2	7:6	8
5	Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20	6	2	2	2	6:7	8
6	Dimensao Capela U20	6	1	1	4	3:6	4
7	CAP Paulo Jacinto U20	6	0	1	5	3:14	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jacioba U20	6	5	1	0	17:5	16
2	Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U20	6	5	0	1	17:5	15
3	Canoense U20	6	3	1	2	6:8	10
4	Gaviao Izidorense U20	6	2	1	3	6:10	7
5	Flamengo do Ipiranga U20	6	2	0	4	9:14	6
6	Talisma U20	6	1	1	4	9:13	4
7	Sao Sebastiao U20	6	1	0	5	4:13	3