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Liga do Sertao U20 vs Guarany Alagoano U20

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano U20 2024
Sun, Jul 14, 2024
1 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Liga do Sertao U20 play Guarany Alagoano U20 in the Alagoano U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Liga do Sertao U20 averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.75 conceded. Guarany Alagoano U20 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Liga do Sertao U20 won 1, Guarany Alagoano U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 14, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Liga do Sertao U20 and 2.19 for Guarany Alagoano U20. This points to a Liga do Sertao U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Liga do Sertao U20
6%
Draws
90%
Guarany Alagoano U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guarany Alagoano U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarany Alagoano U20 demonstrates higher offensive output (1.63 avg goals) than Liga do Sertao U20 (0.88 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Guarany Alagoano U20.
  • Cup tournament structure in Alagoano U20 2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Liga do Sertao U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Guarany Alagoano U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liga do Sertao U20 Guarany Alagoano U20
Matches Played 14 14
Wins 5 5
Draws 1 3
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 Alagoano U20
Liga do Sertao U20 vs Guarany Alagoano U20
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liga do Sertao U20 10 / 100
Guarany Alagoano U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liga do Sertao U20 Guarany Alagoano U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liga do Sertao U20 scored in 57% of their last 14 games.

Guarany Alagoano U20 let in goals in 79% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Liga do Sertao U20 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Guarany Alagoano U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liga do Sertao U20 VS Guarany Alagoano U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Zumbi U207
Canoense U200
Liga do Sertao U201
Guarany Alagoano U200
CRB U2011
Grota do Facao U200
Coruripe U202
Guarani de Paripueira U200
Azzurra U200
SC Penedense U201
CSA U200
Independente Atalaia U201
Jacioba U202
Clube Sociedade Esportiva U200
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U202
Desportiva Alianca U200
Quarter-finals
Zumbi U203
Liga do Sertao U200
CRB U206
Coruripe U200
SC Penedense U200
Independente Atalaia U203
Jacioba U201
Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U200
Semi-finals
Zumbi U201
CRB U202
Independente Atalaia U200
Jacioba U203
Final
CRB U206
Jacioba U201