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Liga do Sertao U20 vs Jacioba U20

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Liga do Sertao U20 play Jacioba U20 in the Alagoano U20 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Liga do Sertao U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 2.93 conceded. Jacioba U20 averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. In past meetings, Liga do Sertao U20 won 0, Jacioba U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 23, 2025 ended 0:9. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.46 for Liga do Sertao U20 and 3.25 for Jacioba U20. This points to a Jacioba U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Liga do Sertao U20
16%
Draws
51%
Jacioba U20
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Jacioba U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Liga do Sertao U20 picked up more points recently compared to Jacioba U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.46 vs 3.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Liga do Sertao U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Jacioba U20 Clean Sheet 23%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liga do Sertao U20 Jacioba U20
Matches Played 14 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 1 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.93 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.29 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.86 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2025 Alagoano U20
Liga do Sertao U20 vs Jacioba U20
0:9

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liga do Sertao U20 32 / 100
Jacioba U20 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liga do Sertao U20 Jacioba U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jacioba U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Liga do Sertao U20 attacking → ← attacking Jacioba U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liga do Sertao U20 scored in 57% of their last 14 games.

Jacioba U20 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Liga do Sertao U20 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Jacioba U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 42
0.29 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
4.86 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CSA U20761030:519
2CRB U20751127:616
3Zumbi U20750217:415
4Desportiva Alianca U20731314:1710
5Guarany Alagoano U20722314:188
6Canoense U20721412:147
7SC Penedense U2071246:135
8Grota do Facao U2070073:460
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20632113:411
2ASA U20632113:611
3Guarani de Paripueira U20632110:411
4Jacioba U20624013:310
5Independente Atalaia U20621310:47
6Coruripe U2062135:117
7Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U2000000:00
8Liga do Sertao U2060062:340