Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ligorna vs AC Chieri

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Danovaro F.
90' Event
Benucci L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Ligorna and AC Chieri finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ligorna
20%
Draws
40%
AC Chieri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ligorna come out ahead of AC Chieri on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 20%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ligorna AC Chieri
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs AC Chieri
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Ligorna
0:2
Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs AC Chieri
2:1
Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Ligorna
0:0
Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs AC Chieri
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Danovaro F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

AC Chieri Compare

Top Goalscorer Benucci L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ligorna 31 / 100
AC Chieri 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ligorna AC Chieri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ligorna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ligorna's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

AC Chieri has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Ligorna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ligorna VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ligorna

(Home)
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
Page 1 of 7

AC Chieri

(Away)
11 May
Cairese
2 : 0
AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2
Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)