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Ligorna vs Albenga

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Sun, Apr 27, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ligorna host Albenga in the Serie D - Group A 2024/2025. Ligorna go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Ligorna at 1.94 goals for, 0.94 against; Albenga at 0.37 for, 3.37 against. Head-to-head, Ligorna have won 2 to Albenga's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.29 - 0.94) back Ligorna to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ligorna
15%
Draws
0%
Albenga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ligorna have won more games recently than Albenga.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 20%
Albenga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ligorna Albenga
Matches Played 35 19
Wins 20 1
Draws 8 0
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.94 0.37
Goals Conceded 0.94 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Albenga
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs Ligorna
0:3
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs Ligorna
3:0
Oct 28, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Albenga
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ligorna 31 / 100
Albenga 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ligorna Albenga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ligorna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ligorna scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.

Albenga has conceded goals in 100% of their last 19 outings.

Albenga's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ligorna VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ligorna

(Home)
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
Page 1 of 7

Albenga

(Away)
09 Feb
Albenga
0 : 7
Vado
02 Feb
Derthona FbC
2 : 1
Albenga
29 Jan
Albenga
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
26 Jan
Saluzzo
5 : 0
Albenga
19 Jan
Albenga
0 : 1
Borgaro
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)