Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A game between Ligorna and Derthona FbC finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derthona FbC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Ligorna come out ahead of Derthona FbC on wins alone.
- 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Ligorna have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ligorna | Derthona FbC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ligorna Compare
Derthona FbC Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ligorna's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Derthona FbC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Ligorna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ligorna
(Home)Derthona FbC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alessandria | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 2 | AS Biellese | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 14 |
| 3 | Derthona FbC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 4 | Ligorna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 5 | Asti Calcio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Gozzano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Saluzzo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 8 | Millesimo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 9 | Chisola | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Imperia Calcio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | GSD Lascaris | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sanremese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 13 | Fezzanese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Sestri Levante | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 15 | Borgosesia Calcio | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 16 | Bra | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 17 | Valenzana | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 18 | Celle Varazze | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:13 | 0 |