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Ligorna vs Gozzano Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

85'
90' Event
Ornaghi R.

AI Match Summary

Gozzano in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gozzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ligorna
20%
Draws
47%
Gozzano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gozzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ligorna have won more games recently than Gozzano.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gozzano here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 17%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ligorna Gozzano
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 20 11
Draws 7 11
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Gozzano
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Ligorna
3:0
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Ligorna
2:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Gozzano
1:4
Jan 13, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Ligorna
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ligorna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Gozzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ornaghi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ligorna 31 / 100
Gozzano 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ligorna Gozzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gozzano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ligorna found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Gozzano let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ligorna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ligorna VS Gozzano
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ligorna

(Home)
27 Sept
Chisola
1 : 2
Ligorna
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
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Gozzano

(Away)
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Gozzano
3 : 0
GSD Lascaris
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)