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Ligorna vs Gozzano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

85'
90' Event
Ornaghi R.

AI Match Summary

Gozzano in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gozzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ligorna
6%
Draws
4%
Gozzano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ligorna have won more games recently than Gozzano.
  • Win probability leans Ligorna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gozzano here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 68%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ligorna Gozzano
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 20 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Gozzano
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Ligorna
3:0
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Ligorna
2:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Gozzano
1:4
Jan 13, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Ligorna
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ligorna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Gozzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ornaghi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ligorna 95 / 100
Gozzano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ligorna Gozzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ligorna remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ligorna scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Gozzano has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ligorna VS Gozzano
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ligorna

(Home)
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1
Ligorna
19 Apr
Ligorna
2 : 1
AS Biellese
Page 1 of 7

Gozzano

(Away)
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
AS Biellese
2 : 0
Gozzano
19 Apr
Gozzano
3 : 2
Chisola
12 Apr
Valenzana
1 : 1
Gozzano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)