Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Pastore M.
54'
54'
Vuthaj D.
66'
66'
Lombardi A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Ligorna and Lavagnese finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ligorna.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ligorna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Lavagnese haven't matched Ligorna's recent run of results.
- Model gives Ligorna a 70% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ligorna have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 68%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ligorna | Lavagnese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Lavagnese
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Ligorna
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Ligorna
1:2
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Lavagnese
2:0
Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Ligorna
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ligorna Compare
Top Goalscorer Pastore M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vuthaj D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Lavagnese Compare
Top Goalscorer Lombardi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ligorna 95 / 100
Lavagnese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ligorna Lavagnese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ligorna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Lavagnese conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Ligorna scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Ligorna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ligorna VS Lavagnese
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ligorna
(Home) 16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3 Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1 Ligorna
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2 Sanremese
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3 Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0 Chisola
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3 Derthona FbC
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2 Sanremese
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3 Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0 Chisola
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1 NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 4
Lavagnese
(Away) 03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3 Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2 Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0 Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2 Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0 Lavagnese
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2 Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0 Lavagnese
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0 Lavagnese
22 Mar
Ligorna
2 : 1 Lavagnese
28 Feb
Sestri Levante
1 : 1 Lavagnese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vado | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 69:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Ligorna | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 64:26 | 72 |
| 3 | AS Biellese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48:29 | 57 |
| 4 | Varese FC | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 43:43 | 56 |
| 5 | Chisola | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44:36 | 55 |
| 6 | Sestri Levante | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54:34 | 54 |
| 7 | Sanremese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:30 | 49 |
| 8 | Valenzana | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Celle Varazze | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Saluzzo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48:44 | 43 |
| 11 | Club Milano | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43:49 | 42 |
| 12 | Imperia Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | 41 |
| 13 | Cairese | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 29:34 | 40 |
| 14 | Derthona FbC | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Gozzano | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37:42 | 39 |
| 16 | Asti Calcio | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:42 | 35 |
| 17 | Lavagnese | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 32:52 | 27 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 26:82 | 16 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)
