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Ligorna vs Verbania

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Pondaco S.
44' Event
Pedrabissi T.
55' Event
Gatti F.

AI Match Summary

Verbania in this Serie D - Group A 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Verbania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ligorna
15%
Draws
26%
Verbania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Verbania haven't matched Ligorna's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 68%
Verbania Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ligorna Verbania
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 18 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.03 0.85
Goals Conceded 1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Verbania
2:3
Sep 1, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Verbania vs Ligorna
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Pondaco S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mancini A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Verbania Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrabissi T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gatti F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ligorna 41 / 100
Verbania 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ligorna Verbania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ligorna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ligorna scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Verbania conceded in 75% of 20 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ligorna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ligorna VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ligorna

(Home)
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
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Verbania

(Away)
16 Feb
Verbania
1 : 0
Fezzanese
09 Feb
Verbania
0 : 3
Seravezza Pozzi
02 Feb
AC Chieri
2 : 0
Verbania
26 Jan
Verbania
2 : 3
Fossano
19 Jan
Prato
5 : 0
Verbania
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