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Lija vs St. Andrews Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2024/2025 Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Correa Duarte R. C.
45'
Giordimaina C.
46'
Sub
Mifsud M. In: Beu E.
Out: Mifsud M.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2024/2025 game between Lija and St. Andrews finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Andrews.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Lija
30%
Draws
16%
St. Andrews
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Lija haven't matched St. Andrews's recent run of results.
  • Lija are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lija Clean Sheet 20%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lija St. Andrews
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Challenge League
Lija vs St. Andrews
0:2
Oct 27, 2024 Challenge League
Lija vs St. Andrews
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Lija
5:0
Sep 23, 2023 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Lija
1:2
Apr 10, 2023 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Lija
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lija Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

St. Andrews Compare

Top Goalscorer Correa Duarte R. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galliano M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lija 58 / 100
St. Andrews 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lija St. Andrews

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lija scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

St. Andrews's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Lija went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS St. Andrews
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lija

(Home)
19 Apr
Lija
0 : 6
Valletta
12 Apr
Lija
3 : 0
Zebbug
06 Apr
Senglea
1 : 1
Lija
29 Mar
Lija
2 : 3
Fgura
08 Mar
Gudja
0 : 1
Lija
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St. Andrews

(Away)
18 Sept
St. Andrews
1 : 1
Santa Lucia
13 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0
St. Andrews
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3
Birzebbuga
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