Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lilla Torg host Karlskrona in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Lilla Torg at 1.63 goals for, 1 against; Karlskrona at 1.88 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor Karlskrona slightly — 0-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.44) point toward Karlskrona. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lilla Torg
44%
Draws
20%
Karlskrona
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlskrona have won more games recently than Lilla Torg.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lilla Torg Clean Sheet 16%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lilla Torg Karlskrona
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 7 17
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Lilla Torg
1:1
Aug 9, 2009 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Lilla Torg
0:0
Jun 14, 2009 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lilla Torg 36 / 100
Karlskrona 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lilla Torg Karlskrona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lilla Torg's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Karlskrona has conceded goals in 74% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lilla Torg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lilla Torg VS Karlskrona
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lilla Torg

(Home)
25 Jul
Kristianstad
2 : 2
Lilla Torg
24 Jun
Lilla Torg
4 : 0
Torns
17 Jun
Nosaby IF
3 : 3
Lilla Torg
12 Jun
Lilla Torg
0 : 0
Staffanstorp United
07 Jun
IFK Karlshamn
2 : 0
Lilla Torg
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Karlskrona

(Away)
18 Jul
Karlskrona
1 : 2
Hassleholms IF
27 Jun
Osterlen FF
0 : 3
Karlskrona
18 Jun
Karlskrona
3 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
14 Jun
Linero IF
2 : 4
Karlskrona
10 Jun
Football Primetime
1 : 0
Karlskrona
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Karlskrona1493228:1630
2Linero IF1481528:1925
3Oskarshamn1473427:1724
4IFK Trelleborg1365219:1123
5Vaxjo Norra1465320:1723
6IFK Berga1463527:1921
7Nosaby IF1355323:2120
8Osterlen FF1453618:2118
9Lilla Torg1446415:2018
10Staffanstorp United1445526:2617
11Solvesborgs1451822:2316
12Torns1450920:3715
13Rappe GOIF1433814:2512
14IFK Karlshamn14211114:297
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)