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Lille United vs Merelbeke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Merelbeke in this Belgian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Lille United
20%
Draws
24%
Merelbeke
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lille United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Lille United haven't matched Merelbeke's recent run of results.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Lille United taking it.
  • Merelbeke arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Merelbeke, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lille United Clean Sheet 17%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille United Merelbeke
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2024 Belgian Cup
Lille United vs Merelbeke
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille United 39 / 100
Merelbeke 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille United Merelbeke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lille United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelbeke let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Lille United found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Lille United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Merelbeke
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille United

(Home)
29 Jul
Hoogstraten
1 : 2
Lille United
04 May
Lille United
1 : 3
Gullegem
27 Apr
Lille United
2 : 0
KSK Tongeren
12 Apr
KV Mechelen 2
1 : 3
Lille United
05 Apr
KRC Mechelen
2 : 3
Lille United
Page 1 of 6

Merelbeke

(Away)
04 Oct
Tienen
0 : 0
Merelbeke
30 Sept
Merelbeke
1 : 1
Dessel
27 Sept
Merelbeke
0 : 1
Eupen
20 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
13 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
1 : 0
Merelbeke
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Ninove -
TBD -
KRC Harelbeke 5
Jong Lede 0
Stade Vervietois 1
Zepperen-Brustem 0
Arquet 0
Bredene 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Lokeren -
Kontich 1
Petegem 2
FC Du Geer 2
Oostkamp 1
KRC Mechelen 3
Kraainem 2
Torhout 0
RAS Monceau 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Waregem -
La Calamine 1
Overijse 0
TBD -
Hasselt -
Eendracht Termien 3
Tervuren-Duisburg 2
TBD -
Thes Sport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFC Seraing -
Knokke -
TBD -
Achel 0
Raeren-Eynatten 1
Tienen -
TBD -
Boom 2
Eendracht Aalter 1
Unico Tongeren 1
Habay La Neuve 5
TBD -
OC Charleroi -
KSK Tongeren 0
Kosova Schaerbeek 1
Turkse Rangers 3
Oudenaarde 2
Diegem 4
Harre-Manhay 0
Entite Manageoise 5
Aische 1
Renaissance Mons -
TBD -
Oppagne 0
Bocholter 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RAAL La Louviere -
Zedelgem 1
Biesme 2
FC Eupen 2
Jette 1
Londerzeel 2
Koninklijk Berchem Sport 4
TBD -
Binche -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Patro Eisden -
Nijlen 6
Wellen 1
TBD -
Union Rochefortoise -
Voorde Appelterre 3
Royal Marloie Sport 0
FC Lebbeke 2
Berlare 3
Westhoek 2
Lenaarts 0
Hamme 2
Gullegem 0
Kalken 1
Olsa Brakel 0
TBD -
Virton -
Lille United 4
Tisselt 0
TBD -
Merelbeke -
Dessel -
TBD -
SK Roeselare 1
Blankenberge 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Beveren -
Belisia Bilzen -
TBD -
KRC Gent 2
RCS Brainois 1
Stockay-Warfusee -
TBD -
Beloeil 1
Union Lasne-Ohain 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lommel SK -
Tubize-Braine -
TBD -
Meix-Devant-Virton 2
RUS Gouvy 1
Onhaye 3
Elene-Grotenberge 0
Rotselaar 1
Zwarte Leeuw 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Francs Borains -
Hades 1
Royal Union Sportive d'Ophain 2
Aywaille 3
Erpe-Mere 0
Zelzate 5
City Pirates 0
UR La Louviere Centre 3
Avanti 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RWDM Brussels -
Acren 5
Mormont 0
Betekom 1
Verlaine 0
K. Lyra-Lierse -
TBD -
SG-Tertre Hautrage 1
Herent 3
Hoogstraten -
TBD -
Eendracht Wervik 0
Meux 1
ASV Geel 2
Crossing Schaerbeek 0
Wezel Sport 2
Schoonbeek-Beverst 1
Dikkelvenne 3
Weerstand Koersel 0
Linden 2
Mandel United 3
Flemalloise 0
RFC Wetteren 5
TBD -
Tournai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Deinze -
Hutoise 6
Landen 2
Berg en Dal 5
Jodoigne 2
Elsautoise 2
Sint-Denijssport 1
TBD -
Cappellen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFC Liege -
Namur -
TBD -
Houtvenne 3
Hamoir 1
Drongen 1
Sporting Bruxelles 2
RFC Grand-Leez 2
Ostiches 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lierse SK -
Ganshoren 4
Sprimont 3
Wallonne Ciney 1
Witgoor Sport 0
Heist -
TBD -
Diksmuide Oostende 2
Esperanza Pelt 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eupen -
Quarter-finals
Ninove 5
KRC Harelbeke 0
Stade Vervietois 2
Bredene 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Lokeren -
Petegem 2
FC Du Geer 1
KRC Mechelen 1
RAS Monceau 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Waregem -
La Calamine 1
Hasselt 6
Eendracht Termien 1
Thes Sport 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFC Seraing -
Knokke 3
Raeren-Eynatten 0
Tienen 1
Boom 2
Habay La Neuve 0
OC Charleroi 2
Kosova Schaerbeek 0
Turkse Rangers 1
Diegem 4
Entite Manageoise 1
Renaissance Mons 3
Bocholter 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RAAL La Louviere -
Biesme 3
FC Eupen 0
Koninklijk Berchem Sport 3
Binche 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Patro Eisden -
Nijlen 1
Union Rochefortoise 4
Voorde Appelterre 2
Berlare 1
Westhoek 1
Hamme 4
Kalken 3
Virton 1
Lille United 1
Merelbeke 2
Dessel 3
Blankenberge 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Beveren -
Belisia Bilzen 3
KRC Gent 0
Stockay-Warfusee 4
Beloeil 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lommel SK -
Tubize-Braine 3
Meix-Devant-Virton 0
Onhaye 3
Rotselaar 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Francs Borains -
Royal Union Sportive d'Ophain 0
Aywaille 1
Zelzate 1
UR La Louviere Centre 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RWDM Brussels -
Acren 6
Betekom 0
K. Lyra-Lierse 2
Herent 0
Hoogstraten 0
Meux 1
ASV Geel 2
Wezel Sport 1
Dikkelvenne 1
Mandel United 0
RFC Wetteren 1
Tournai 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Deinze -
Hutoise 2
Berg en Dal 4
Elsautoise 1
Cappellen 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFC Liege -
Namur 1
Houtvenne 3
Sporting Bruxelles 3
RFC Grand-Leez 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lierse SK -
Ganshoren 2
Wallonne Ciney 1
Heist 0
Diksmuide Oostende 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eupen -
Semi-finals
Ninove 5
Bredene 1
TBD -
Sporting Lokeren -
Petegem 3
KRC Mechelen 2
TBD -
Waregem -
Hasselt 0
Thes Sport 1
TBD -
RFC Seraing -
Knokke 2
Boom 0
OC Charleroi 4
Turkse Rangers 0
Diegem 1
Renaissance Mons 3
TBD -
RAAL La Louviere -
Biesme 0
Binche 2
TBD -
Patro Eisden -
Union Rochefortoise 1
Voorde Appelterre 0
Hamme 3
Kalken 1
Merelbeke 0
Dessel 2
TBD -
SK Beveren -
Belisia Bilzen 3
Stockay-Warfusee 0
TBD -
Lommel SK -
Tubize-Braine 2
Onhaye 0
TBD -
Francs Borains -
Aywaille 4
UR La Louviere Centre 1
TBD -
RWDM Brussels -
Acren 1
K. Lyra-Lierse 2
Meux 2
ASV Geel 1
Dikkelvenne 1
RFC Wetteren 0
TBD -
Deinze -
Berg en Dal 1
Elsautoise 2
TBD -
RFC Liege -
Houtvenne 4
Sporting Bruxelles 3
TBD -
Lierse SK -
Ganshoren 1
Diksmuide Oostende 2
TBD -
Eupen -
Final
Ninove 1
Sporting Lokeren 3
Petegem 1
Waregem 3
Thes Sport 2
RFC Seraing 3
Knokke 3
OC Charleroi 5
Renaissance Mons 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
Binche 1
Patro Eisden 2
Union Rochefortoise 2
Hamme 1
Dessel 2
SK Beveren 3
Belisia Bilzen 1
Lommel SK 0
Tubize-Braine 2
Francs Borains 1
Aywaille 0
RWDM Brussels 5
K. Lyra-Lierse 3
Meux 0
Dikkelvenne 0
Deinze 3
Elsautoise 1
RFC Liege 3
Houtvenne 2
Lierse SK 3
Diksmuide Oostende 2
Eupen 3