Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lille vs Din. Zagreb

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Correia F.
Assist: Haraldsson H.
31'
Igamane H.
36' Event
Mukau N.
Assist: Igamane H.

AI Match Summary

Lille in this Europa League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lille.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lille
30%
Draws
43%
Din. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Din. Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Din. Zagreb lately — more wins on the board than Lille.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lille Clean Sheet 14%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille Din. Zagreb
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 22
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 0
Goals Scored 1.31 3.15
Goals Conceded 1 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.45 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2025 Europa League
Lille vs Din. Zagreb
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lille Compare

Top Goalscorer Correia F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mukau N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.72

Din. Zagreb Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille 35 / 100
Din. Zagreb 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille Din. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Zagreb Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Lille scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Lille stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Din. Zagreb's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lille VS Din. Zagreb
2.14 Goals Scored 2.13
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille

(Home)
23 Aug
Angers
0 : 2
Lille
15 Aug
Everton
1 : 1
Lille
08 Aug
Hamburger
2 : 2
Lille
01 Aug
Leuven
3 : 6
Lille
25 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1
Lille
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Din. Zagreb

(Away)
22 Aug
Din. Zagreb
3 : 1
Varazdin
18 Aug
Din. Zagreb
2 : 2
Viking
14 Aug
Din. Zagreb
4 : 0
Rudes
11 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris
1 : 2
Din. Zagreb
04 Aug
Din. Zagreb
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyon 8 7 0 1 18:5 21
2 Aston Villa 8 7 0 1 14:6 21
3 Midtjylland 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 Betis 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
5 FC Porto 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
6 Braga 8 5 2 1 11:5 17
7 Freiburg 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
8 AS Roma 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
9 Genk 8 5 1 2 11:7 16
10 Bologna 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 5 0 3 15:9 15
12 Ferencvaros 8 4 3 1 12:11 15
13 Nottingham 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
14 Plzen 8 3 5 0 8:3 14
15 Crvena zvezda 8 4 2 2 7:6 14
16 Celta Vigo 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
17 PAOK 8 3 3 2 17:14 12
18 Lille 8 4 0 4 12:9 12
19 Fenerbahce 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
20 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
21 Celtic 8 3 2 3 13:15 11
22 Ludogorets 8 3 1 4 12:15 10
23 Din. Zagreb 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
24 Brann 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
25 Young Boys 8 3 0 5 10:16 9
26 Sturm Graz 8 2 1 5 5:11 7
27 FCSB 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
28 G.A. Eagles 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
29 Feyenoord 8 2 0 6 11:15 6
30 Basel 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
31 Salzburg 8 2 0 6 10:15 6
32 Rangers 8 1 1 6 5:14 4
33 Nice 8 1 0 7 7:15 3
34 Utrecht 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
35 Malmo FF 8 0 1 7 4:15 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 0 1 7 2:22 1
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)