Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Haraldsson H.
Assist: Giroud O.
39'
39'
Ruiz F.
46'
46'
Sub
Doue D. In: Kvaratskhelia K.
Out: Doue D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSG
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to PSG lately — more wins on the board than Lille.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on PSG taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lille Clean Sheet 10%
PSG Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lille | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 2.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Ligue 1
Lille vs PSG
2:2
Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 1
PSG vs Lille
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Lille vs PSG
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 Ligue 1
PSG vs Lille
4:1
Sep 1, 2024 Ligue 1
Lille vs PSG
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lille Compare
Top Goalscorer Haraldsson H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bakwa D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
PSG Compare
Top Goalscorer Vitinha
1 Goals Assists Leader Marquinhos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lille 10 / 100
PSG 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lille PSG
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lille scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
PSG let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Lille remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lille VS PSG
1.25 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Lille
(Home) 25 Oct
Monaco
1 : 1 Lille
21 Oct
Lille
2 : 4 Galatasaray
17 Oct
Lille
1 : 1 Brest
13 Oct
Arsenal
3 : 0 Lille
10 Oct
Lille
1 : 0 Le Havre
Page 1 of 6
21 Oct
Lille
2 : 4 Galatasaray
17 Oct
Lille
1 : 1 Brest
10 Oct
Lille
1 : 0 Le Havre
02 Oct
Lille
2 : 1 Waregem
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0 Troyes
Page 1 of 3
PSG
(Away) 26 Oct
PSG
2 : 0 Lyon
20 Oct
PSG
4 : 2 Barcelona
17 Oct
Strasbourg
1 : 3 PSG
14 Oct
Manchester City
2 : 4 PSG
10 Oct
PSG
3 : 1 Le Mans
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Strasbourg
1 : 3 PSG
14 Oct
Manchester City
2 : 4 PSG
20 Sept
Marseille
1 : 2 PSG
13 Sept
Brest
0 : 1 PSG
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2 PSG
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 17 |
| 2 | Rennes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:14 | 16 |
| 3 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18:13 | 12 |
| 9 | Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 13 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | 7 |
| 17 | Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | 5 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
