Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Haraldsson H.
Assist: Giroud O.
39'
39'
Ruiz F.
46'
46'
Sub
Doue D. In: Kvaratskhelia K.
Out: Doue D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lille
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to PSG lately — more wins on the board than Lille.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Lille taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lille Clean Sheet 20%
PSG Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lille | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 19 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 2.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Ligue 1
Lille vs PSG
2:2
Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 1
PSG vs Lille
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Lille vs PSG
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 Ligue 1
PSG vs Lille
4:1
Sep 1, 2024 Ligue 1
Lille vs PSG
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lille Compare
Top Goalscorer Haraldsson H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bakwa D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
PSG Compare
Top Goalscorer Vitinha
1 Goals Assists Leader Marquinhos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lille 67 / 100
PSG 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lille PSG
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lille Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Lille went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Lille scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: PSG conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Lille VS PSG
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lille
(Home) 28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2 PSG
23 Aug
Angers
0 : 2 Lille
15 Aug
Everton
1 : 1 Lille
08 Aug
Hamburger
2 : 2 Lille
01 Aug
Leuven
3 : 6 Lille
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2 PSG
18 Jul
Lille
3 : 0 RAAL La Louviere
17 May
Lille
0 : 2 Auxerre
03 May
Lille
1 : 1 Le Havre
18 Apr
Lille
0 : 0 Nice
Page 1 of 3
PSG
(Away) 28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2 PSG
23 Aug
Rennes
2 : 2 PSG
16 Aug
Lens
1 : 0 PSG
12 Aug
PSG
2 : 1 Aston Villa
08 Aug
PSG
1 : 1 Manchester United
Page 1 of 7
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2 PSG
23 Aug
Rennes
2 : 2 PSG
16 Aug
Lens
1 : 0 PSG
05 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0 PSG
17 May
Paris FC
2 : 1 PSG
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lille | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 2 | Lyon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Troyes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 6 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 9 | PSG | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 10 | Brest | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 12 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 13 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 16 | Lorient | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 17 | Toulouse | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
