Sport Picks
Lille W vs Montpellier W Prediction & H2H Stats
France
Coupe de la Ligue Women Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montpellier W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Montpellier W at 1.34 per game, Lille W at 1.28.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Montpellier W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lille W Clean Sheet 10%
Montpellier W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lille W | Montpellier W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Lille W vs Montpellier W
0:2
Apr 13, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Lille W
1:2
Nov 3, 2023 Premiere Ligue Women
Lille W vs Montpellier W
0:0
May 4, 2019 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs Lille W
3:2
Oct 27, 2018 Premiere Ligue Women
Lille W vs Montpellier W
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lille W 34 / 100
Montpellier W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lille W Montpellier W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montpellier W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montpellier W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Lille W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Lille W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lille W VS Montpellier W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lille W
(Home) 26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3 Lille W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0 Lille W
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2 Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2 Auxerre W
29 Aug
Nice W
3 : 2 Lille W
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2 Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2 Auxerre W
22 Aug
Lille W
0 : 2 Montpellier W
17 May
Lille W
0 : 0 Saint-Malo W
26 Apr
Lille W
4 : 0 Guingamp W
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Montpellier W
(Away) 19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0 Marseille W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0 Montpellier W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1 Toulouse W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3 Marseille W
22 Aug
Lille W
0 : 2 Montpellier W
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0 Montpellier W
22 Aug
Lille W
0 : 2 Montpellier W
12 Aug
Barcelona W
3 : 1 Montpellier W
01 Aug
Badalona W
0 : 2 Montpellier W
06 May
OL Lyonnes W
3 : 1 Montpellier W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Lens W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 3 | St Etienne W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Strasbourg W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Saint-Malo W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 5 |
| 6 | Auxerre W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 7 | Thonon Evian W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 8 | Nantes W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Le Mans W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Fleury 91 W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 11 | Roubaix W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 12 | Montpellier W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 13 | Le Havre W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 14 | Grenoble W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 15 | Nice W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 16 | Lille W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 1 |
| 17 | Cannes W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 18 | Bourges 18 W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 19 | Toulouse W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 20 | Metz W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)
