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Lillehammer vs Assiden

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Hansen K.
21'
Hansen K.
29' Event
Noland O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 2025 game between Lillehammer and Assiden finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lillehammer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lillehammer
15%
Draws
0%
Assiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillehammer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lillehammer come out ahead of Assiden on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Lillehammer taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Lillehammer Clean Sheet 20%
Assiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillehammer Assiden
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 22 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 3.15 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 3
Lillehammer vs Assiden
4:2
Jun 28, 2025 Division 3 - Group 3
Assiden vs Lillehammer
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillehammer Compare

Top Goalscorer Finstad P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Holder N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Assiden Compare

Top Goalscorer Noland O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillehammer 85 / 100
Assiden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillehammer Assiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillehammer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillehammer scored in 97% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Assiden conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Assiden registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lillehammer VS Assiden
4.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillehammer

(Home)
19 Sept
Lillehammer
7 : 1
Bjorkelangen
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
05 Sept
Lillehammer
3 : 0
Raelingen
30 Aug
Elverum
4 : 3
Lillehammer
22 Aug
Lillehammer
2 : 4
Strommen
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Assiden

(Away)
22 Aug
Assiden
0 : 4
Notodden
26 Oct
Lillehammer
4 : 2
Assiden
19 Oct
Assiden
3 : 4
Lillestrom 2
11 Oct
Bjorkelangen
3 : 1
Assiden
05 Oct
Assiden
1 : 5
Lorenskog
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