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Lillehammer vs Gran

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gran in this Division 3 - Group 3 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lillehammer
20%
Draws
29%
Gran
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lillehammer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lillehammer lately — more wins on the board than Gran.
  • Lillehammer are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Lillehammer Clean Sheet 19%
Gran Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillehammer Gran
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 22 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 3.34 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Lillehammer vs Gran
1:2
Jul 5, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Gran vs Lillehammer
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillehammer 85 / 100
Gran 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillehammer Gran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillehammer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillehammer scored in 97% of their last 35 games.

Gran's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Lillehammer has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lillehammer VS -
3.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillehammer

(Home)
30 Aug
Elverum
4 : 3
Lillehammer
22 Aug
Lillehammer
2 : 4
Strommen
17 Aug
Lillehammer
4 : 1
Lyn 2
08 Aug
Gjovik-Lyn
0 : 2
Lillehammer
01 Aug
Lillehammer
2 : 1
Drobak-Frogn
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Gran

(Away)
26 Apr
Gran
0 : 8
Valerenga
22 Oct
Valdres
1 : 1
Gran
15 Oct
Gran
2 : 2
Skedsmo
08 Oct
Hauerseter
0 : 2
Gran
03 Oct
Gran
1 : 3
Lillestrom 2
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