Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lillehammer vs Sarpsborg 08 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ljung M.
45' Event
Nordsveen K.
54' Event
Nygard M.

AI Match Summary

Lillehammer in this Division 3 - Group 6 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lillehammer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lillehammer
15%
Draws
57%
Sarpsborg 08 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarpsborg 08 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Lillehammer have won more games recently than Sarpsborg 08 2.
  • Sarpsborg 08 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Lillehammer Clean Sheet 10%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillehammer Sarpsborg 08 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.93 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Lillehammer
3:1
Apr 27, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillehammer vs Sarpsborg 08 2
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillehammer Compare

Top Goalscorer Nygard M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nordsveen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sarpsborg 08 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljung M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillehammer 10 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillehammer Sarpsborg 08 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillehammer's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sarpsborg 08 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Lillehammer went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lillehammer VS Sarpsborg 08 2
3 Goals Scored 3
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillehammer

(Home)
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
05 Sept
Lillehammer
3 : 0
Raelingen
30 Aug
Elverum
4 : 3
Lillehammer
22 Aug
Lillehammer
2 : 4
Strommen
17 Aug
Lillehammer
4 : 1
Lyn 2
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Sarpsborg 08 2

(Away)
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
07 Sept
Orn
3 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
31 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Rade
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
09 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
11 : 0
Brumunddal
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