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Lillestrom 2 vs Alta

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Andersen L.
10'
Reshane F.
15' Event
Martynenko N.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 game between Lillestrom 2 and Alta finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Lillestrom 2
15%
Draws
53%
Alta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Lillestrom 2 haven't matched Alta's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • History favors Alta here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Alta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom 2 Alta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 0 7
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 3.03 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Alta vs Lillestrom 2
8:3
May 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Lillestrom 2 vs Alta
2:4
Aug 10, 2015 Division 2 - Group 2
Lillestrom 2 vs Alta
3:0
Apr 27, 2015 Division 2 - Group 2
Alta vs Lillestrom 2
7:1
Oct 14, 2006 Division 2 - Group 4
Alta vs Lillestrom 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersen L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olsen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Alta Compare

Top Goalscorer Martynenko N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Norbye T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 2 34 / 100
Alta 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom 2 Alta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom 2 scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 6.20 goals when they meet.

Alta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Lillestrom 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom 2 VS Alta
3.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom 2

(Home)
27 Sept
Alta
8 : 3
Lillestrom 2
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Skedsmo
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
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Alta

(Away)
27 Sept
Alta
8 : 3
Lillestrom 2
21 Sept
Alta
2 : 0
Stromsgodset 2
16 Sept
Alta
1 : 2
Tromso
12 Sept
Finnsnes
1 : 2
Alta
06 Sept
Alta
0 : 0
Skedsmo
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