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Lillestrom 2 vs Elverum

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Reshane F.
Own Goal
45' Event
Adedeji J.
62' Event
Chaminta A.

AI Match Summary

Lillestrom 2 in this Division 3 - Group 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lillestrom 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lillestrom 2
33%
Draws
27%
Elverum
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lillestrom 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elverum lately — more wins on the board than Lillestrom 2.
  • Lillestrom 2 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Elverum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom 2 Elverum
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 19
Draws 1 2
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 3.75 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2025 Division 3 - Group 3
Lillestrom 2 vs Elverum
4:2
Apr 1, 2025 Division 3 - Group 3
Elverum vs Lillestrom 2
5:1
Aug 30, 2021 Division 3 - Group 1
Elverum vs Lillestrom 2
3:3
Sep 7, 2020 Division 3 - Group 1
Lillestrom 2 vs Elverum
0:0
Aug 29, 2020 Division 3 - Group 1
Elverum vs Lillestrom 2
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Adedeji J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Chaminta A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88

Elverum Compare

Top Goalscorer Solum M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 2 38 / 100
Elverum 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom 2 Elverum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom 2 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Elverum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Lillestrom 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom 2 VS Elverum
3.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom 2

(Home)
28 Jun
Lillestrom 2
5 : 3
Tromso 2
20 Jun
Lillestrom 2
10 : 1
Ulfstind
14 Jun
Fauske Sprint
4 : 3
Lillestrom 2
30 May
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Alta
26 May
Stromsgodset 2
1 : 3
Lillestrom 2
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Elverum

(Away)
27 Jun
Lillehammer
2 : 2
Elverum
20 Jun
Elverum
2 : 1
Oppsal
13 Jun
Orn
0 : 3
Elverum
31 May
Elverum
4 : 0
Brumunddal
25 May
Gjovik-Lyn
1 : 0
Elverum
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