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Lillestrom 2 vs Floya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lillestrom 2 host Floya in the Division 3 - Group 5. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Lillestrom 2 have averaged 3.11 scored and 2.46 conceded recently, against Floya's 2.66 scored and 1.97 conceded. Past meetings favor Floya slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 2.56 vs 3.13, favoring Floya. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Lillestrom 2
15%
Draws
78%
Floya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Floya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Lillestrom 2 haven't matched Floya's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Floya a 78% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • Floya have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Floya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom 2 Floya
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 1 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 3.11 2.66
Goals Conceded 2.46 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Floya vs Lillestrom 2
3:2
Aug 21, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Floya vs Lillestrom 2
2:0
Jun 26, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Floya
0:3
Sep 8, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Floya vs Lillestrom 2
3:1
Jul 21, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Floya
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 2 10 / 100
Floya 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom 2 Floya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom 2's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Floya conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Lillestrom 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom 2 VS Floya
3 Goals Scored 3.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom 2

(Home)
11 Oct
Tromso 2
2 : 0
Lillestrom 2
04 Oct
Lillestrom 2
3 : 3
Stromsgodset 2
27 Sept
Alta
8 : 3
Lillestrom 2
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Skedsmo
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
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Floya

(Away)
10 Oct
Skedsmo
1 : 3
Floya
03 Oct
Floya
5 : 1
Bossekop
27 Sept
Stromsgodset 2
2 : 4
Floya
20 Sept
Floya
3 : 1
Finnsnes
16 Sept
Floya
1 : 4
Rosenborg
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