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Lillestrom U19 vs Ham-Kam U19

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Eriksen L.
18' Event
Baltimore L.
25' Event
Abdulla M.

AI Match Summary

The Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 game between Lillestrom U19 and Ham-Kam U19 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lillestrom U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Lillestrom U19
15%
Draws
28%
Ham-Kam U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lillestrom U19 come out ahead of Ham-Kam U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lillestrom U19 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors Lillestrom U19 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Lillestrom U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Ham-Kam U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom U19 Ham-Kam U19
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.71 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Lillestrom U19 vs Ham-Kam U19
4:0
Feb 8, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Ham-Kam U19 vs Lillestrom U19
1:2
Mar 9, 2024 Nasjonal U19 CL
Ham-Kam U19 vs Lillestrom U19
2:4
Feb 29, 2024 Nasjonal U19 CL
Lillestrom U19 vs Ham-Kam U19
4:2
Mar 12, 2023 Nasjonal U19 CL
Lillestrom U19 vs Ham-Kam U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Eriksen L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baltimore L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ham-Kam U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom U19 85 / 100
Ham-Kam U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom U19 Ham-Kam U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom U19 scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Ham-Kam U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Lillestrom U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom U19 VS Ham-Kam U19
3.5 Goals Scored 3.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom U19

(Home)
26 Aug
Lillestrom U19
4 : 1
Tromso U19
20 Aug
Tromso U19
1 : 3
Lillestrom U19
06 Aug
Lillestrom U19
6 : 0
Aalesund U19
28 Jul
Aalesund U19
3 : 1
Lillestrom U19
14 Mar
Aalesund U19
0 : 5
Lillestrom U19
Page 1 of 7

Ham-Kam U19

(Away)
27 Aug
Ham-Kam U19
0 : 3
Rosenborg U19
20 Aug
Rosenborg U19
6 : 1
Ham-Kam U19
05 Aug
Ham-Kam U19
5 : 1
Odds BK U19
30 Jul
Odds BK U19
2 : 5
Ham-Kam U19
22 Mar
Tromso U19
4 : 1
Ham-Kam U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Odds BK U19 6 3 2 1 13:11 11
2 Haugesund U19 6 3 1 2 18:12 10
3 Viking U19 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
4 Start U19 6 1 1 4 8:19 4
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Losers Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalesund U19 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Stabaek U19 6 2 2 2 14:11 8
3 Rosenborg U19 6 2 2 2 15:13 8
4 Molde U19 6 1 2 3 8:15 5
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Losers Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tromso U19 6 5 0 1 20:8 15
2 Lillestrom U19 6 4 0 2 18:10 12
3 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 2 0 4 7:18 6
4 Ham-Kam U19 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Losers Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valerenga U19 6 4 0 2 18:13 12
2 Brann U19 6 3 0 3 18:11 9
3 Stromsgodset U19 6 3 0 3 18:26 9
4 Sogndal U19 6 2 0 4 14:18 6
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Losers Play Offs)