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Lillestrom vs Sandefjord

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Jebara C.
46'
Sub
Olsen T. In: Ranger L.
Out: Olsen T.
46'
Sub
Woxen H. In: Waehler M.
Out: Woxen H.

AI Match Summary

Sandefjord in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sandefjord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lillestrom
6%
Draws
4%
Sandefjord
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lillestrom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lillestrom lately — more wins on the board than Sandefjord.
  • Lillestrom are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 18%
Sandefjord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom Sandefjord
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Sandefjord
3:1
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Lillestrom vs Sandefjord
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Sandefjord
0:3
Apr 21, 2024 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Lillestrom
0:1
Feb 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Lillestrom vs Sandefjord
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom Compare

Top Goalscorer Jebara C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sandefjord Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathisen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Patoulidis E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 85 / 100
Sandefjord 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom Sandefjord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lillestrom scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Sandefjord's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lillestrom stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom VS Sandefjord
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom

(Home)
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Viking
18 Jul
Lillestrom
2 : 1
KFUM Oslo
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2
Lillestrom
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
26 Jun
Lillestrom
2 : 3
Degerfors
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Sandefjord

(Away)
26 Jul
Sandefjord
0 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
18 Jul
Viking
2 : 1
Sandefjord
12 Jul
Sandefjord
2 : 2
Ham-Kam
30 May
Molde
2 : 1
Sandefjord
25 May
Sandefjord
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
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