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Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nyheim G.
18' Event
Halvorsen V. E.
28' Event
Drammeh S.

AI Match Summary

Lillestrom in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lillestrom.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Lillestrom
30%
Draws
28%
Sarpsborg 08
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lillestrom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lillestrom lately — more wins on the board than Sarpsborg 08.
  • Model gives Lillestrom a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 20%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom Sarpsborg 08
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg 08
3:1
May 3, 2026 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg 08
4:0
Dec 6, 2025 NM Cup
Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg 08
3:1
Jul 28, 2024 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Sarpsborg 08
2:2
May 5, 2024 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Lillestrom
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyheim G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Drammeh S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sarpsborg 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Halvorsen V. E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 49 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom Sarpsborg 08

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Lillestrom found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Sarpsborg 08 let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Lillestrom went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom VS Sarpsborg 08
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom

(Home)
01 Oct
Baerum
1 : 5
Lillestrom
20 Sept
Viking
3 : 0
Lillestrom
17 Sept
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Torreense
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0
Valerenga
05 Sept
Brann
1 : 2
Lillestrom
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Sarpsborg 08

(Away)
30 Sept
Follo
0 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3
KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
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