Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Limache vs Palestino

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Limache
Limache Logo

Limache

1 - 1
FT
Palestino Logo

Palestino

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Montecinos J.
45'
Fuentes C.
45'
Sub
Meza F. In: Ceza Gavilan A. A.
Out: Meza F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Limache
15%
Draws
48%
Palestino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palestino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Limache's 1.79 goals per match outpaces what Palestino have produced (1.27).
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Palestino, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Palestino have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Limache Clean Sheet 10%
Palestino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limache Palestino
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Palestino vs Limache
3:2
Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Primera
Palestino vs Limache
1:0
Mar 26, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Limache vs Palestino
1:1
Nov 3, 2025 Liga de Primera
Palestino vs Limache
2:1
May 18, 2025 Liga de Primera
Limache vs Palestino
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Limache Compare

Top Goalscorer Montecinos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Palestino Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limache 29 / 100
Palestino 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limache Palestino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Limache Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Limache scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Palestino conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Limache remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Limache VS Palestino
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Limache

(Home)
09 Aug
O Higgins
1 : 3
Limache
06 Aug
Deportes Iquique
3 : 1
Limache
25 Jul
Colo Colo
3 : 1
Limache
06 Jul
Limache
4 : 1
San Marcos de Arica
01 Jul
Limache
1 : 1
Coquimbo
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Palestino

(Away)
10 Aug
U. De Chile
2 : 1
Palestino
01 Aug
Palestino
2 : 1
Coquimbo
26 Jul
Nublense
2 : 0
Palestino
11 Jul
Palestino
3 : 2
Deportes Santa Cruz
04 Jul
Magallanes
1 : 2
Palestino
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Colo Colo 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 D. Concepcion 6 0 1 5 6:13 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 U. Catolica 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
4 Cobresal 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Higgins 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Everton 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Limache 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Palestino 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union La Calera 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 A. Italiano 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 U. De Chile 6 2 2 2 12:7 8
4 La Serena 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)