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Limavady vs Coleraine

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup The Showgrounds, Coleraine
Limavady Logo

Limavady

0 - 2
FT
Coleraine Logo

Coleraine

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Jarvis D. In: Wylie B.
Out: Jarvis D.
60'
Sub
Akintunde J. In: McGonigle J.
Out: Akintunde J.
60'
Sub
Okoro Z. In: Shevlin M.
Out: Okoro Z.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Coleraine advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Limavady
44%
Draws
20%
Coleraine
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coleraine come out ahead of Limavady on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Coleraine arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Coleraine, who have won 5 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Coleraine here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Limavady Clean Sheet 16%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limavady Coleraine
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 17 27
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Limavady vs Coleraine
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 Irish Cup
Limavady vs Coleraine
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Limavady vs Coleraine
2:4
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Limavady vs Coleraine
1:4
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Limavady vs Coleraine
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Limavady Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Coleraine Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooper J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shevlin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limavady 36 / 100
Coleraine 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limavady Coleraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Limavady found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Coleraine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 35 matches.

Limavady went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Limavady VS Coleraine
1 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Limavady

(Home)
24 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1
Linfield
18 Jul
Limavady
2 : 1
Institute
11 Jul
Limavady
0 : 0
Ballinamallard
07 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1
Coleraine
04 Jul
Limavady
4 : 1
Warrenpoint
Page 1 of 6

Coleraine

(Away)
23 Jul
HJK
5 : 0
Coleraine
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portadown
14 Jul
Sligo Rovers
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Jul
Newbuildings
2 : 5
Coleraine
11 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portstewart
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TBD-
Loughgall-
Wakehurst2
Knockbreda4
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
Institute-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
Newington FC-
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
Annagh-
Dungannon-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Newbuildings1
Moyola2
TBD-
Harland & Wolff-
Comber Rec3
Hanover1
Ballymacash4
Willowbank0
Strabane Athletic2
Rathfriland Rangers1
TBD-
Glentoran-
Armagh-
TBD-
Newry City1
Drumaness2
Lisburn Distillery4
Finaghy FC2
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Limavady-
TBD-
Lisburn Rangers5
Dergview4
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor FC-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
1/16-finals
Loughgall2
Knockbreda0
Ballinamallard0
Institute3
Cliftonville3
Dundela0
Glenavon4
Newington FC2
Portadown4
Annagh2
Dungannon3
Ards0
Moyola2
Harland & Wolff4
Comber Rec0
Ballymacash3
Strabane Athletic0
Glentoran4
Armagh1
Drumaness4
Lisburn Distillery3
Warrenpoint4
Ballymena1
Larne2
Limavady4
Lisburn Rangers1
Linfield1
Bangor FC0
Carrick Rangers5
Queens University1
Coleraine4
Crusaders0
1/8-finals
Loughgall2
Institute1
Cliftonville2
Glenavon1
Portadown1
Dungannon2
Harland & Wolff3
Ballymacash0
Glentoran5
Drumaness0
Warrenpoint0
Larne2
Limavady1
Linfield0
Carrick Rangers1
Coleraine4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall0
Cliftonville3
Dungannon3
Harland & Wolff0
Glentoran1
Larne2
Limavady0
Coleraine2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2
Larne1
Coleraine2
Final
Dungannon2
Coleraine3